🔥 @VitalikButerin published a blog titled "From Prediction Markets to Information Finance," introducing the concept of "Information Finance." Here are some key points summarized:
1⃣ One of the most exciting Ethereum applications for me this round is prediction markets.
2⃣ Polymarket provides betting on one hand and real information on the other; real money betting reflects people's true intentions.
3⃣ Prediction markets are not just gambling; they can unite decision-making markets and become tools in the world of "Information Finance."
4⃣ Information Finance is a three-sided market: bettors make predictions, audiences read predictions, and the market reacts to future predictions.
5⃣ A technology that will drive the development of Information Finance in the next decade is artificial intelligence.
6⃣ Prediction markets can also serve as a way to coordinate incentive mechanisms, providing valuable information.
7⃣ Information Finance requires refined human judgment mechanisms, such as DAOs. If most decisions in a DAO are made through prediction markets, with human and AI combined to predict voting outcomes, then such a DAO may operate well.
8⃣ Information Finance has broader use cases, helping to design more reasonable personal token economic models, precise advertising placements, etc.
9⃣ Information Finance addresses the trust issues that actually exist among people.
My understanding is that Information Finance is essentially an attention market; where people's attention is focused, what choices they tend to make, real money will always flow to where people direct more attention.
In this complex environment, lacking consensus and trust, applications of Information Finance can become part of the solution.
You can check out the original text by Vitalik: https://vitalik.eth.limo/general/2024/11/09/infofinance.html
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