#Biden may pardon SBF#
Hot Topic Overview
Overview
There is currently a lot of discussion about whether Biden will pardon SBF. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, the probability of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office is 4%, and the probability of pardoning Ross Ulbricht is 2%. While the likelihood is low, the topic has garnered significant attention as SBF is serving a 25-year sentence, while Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison. Notably, Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, while Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case. These events add further uncertainty to the possibility of SBF's pardon.
Ace Hot Topic Analysis
Analysis
Discussions about whether US President Joe Biden will pardon former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) have been heating up recently. According to data from prediction market platform Polymarket, users believe there is a 4% chance that Biden will pardon SBF before leaving office, while the chance of pardoning Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht is 2%. This prediction suggests that the public believes Biden is more likely to pardon SBF, despite the fact that SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence while awaiting appeal, and Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015. It is worth noting that Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, while Trump promised to handle Ulbricht's case. This contrast may also have influenced public expectations regarding Biden's pardon of SBF. In conclusion, there is no clear conclusion yet on whether Biden will pardon SBF, but data from prediction market platforms suggests that the public does not believe it is entirely impossible.
Public Sentiment · Discussion Word Cloud
Public Sentiment
Discussion Word Cloud
Classic Views
The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, with Polymarket users predicting only 4%
The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is higher than pardoning Ross Ulbricht, who was sentenced to life in prison
Biden has recently commuted sentences for over 1500 people, but the possibility of pardoning SBF remains controversial
Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but Biden has not yet commented on the matter