#Cryptocurrency prices are under pressure.#
Hot Topic Overview
Overview
The cryptocurrency market experienced a bull run in the final quarter of the year, but rising global government bond yields are putting pressure on cryptocurrency prices. Long-term US and UK bond yields have risen to multi-year highs, with similar trends seen in other countries. While rising yields have not hampered cryptocurrency price movements in recent months, major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin have seen declines since mid-December. This suggests that rising yields are having a negative impact on the cryptocurrency market, with investors starting to shift funds towards traditional assets.
Ace Hot Topic Analysis
Analysis
The cryptocurrency market experienced a bull run in the final quarter of 2024, but rising global government bond yields are putting pressure on crypto prices. The US 10-year Treasury yield, the global benchmark, has climbed to 4.70%, near multi-year highs, and has risen by more than 100 basis points since the Fed first cut the federal funds rate in September. The UK has taken a more extreme action, with the 30-year gilt yield rising to 5.35%, its highest level since 1998. The yield has now climbed 105 basis points since the Fed first cut rates in September. The sharp rise in interest rates is not limited to the US and UK, with Germany, Italy, and Japan experiencing similar moves. In fact, the Japanese 10-year government bond yield has risen to 1.18% – a relatively small number, but the highest level in nearly 15 years. The rise in yields over the past few months did not seem to hinder the crypto price action, with Bitcoin and many other digital assets reaching record or multi-year highs in early to mid-December. The price action since then has been a different story, with Bitcoin, for example, falling more than 10% from its all-time high of $108,000 set three weeks ago, and several other major coins falling even further. There are always exceptions, and this time it is China, where yields have fallen sharply due to deflationary concerns. According to a post on X by the Kobeissi Letter, China is experiencing its longest period of deflation since 1999.
Public Sentiment · Discussion Word Cloud
Public Sentiment
Discussion Word Cloud
Classic Views
Global government bond yields rising is a major reason for pressure on cryptocurrency prices.
Higher interest rates in major economies like the US and UK have led to a decline in cryptocurrency prices.
The cryptocurrency market experienced a bull run in the last quarter of 2024, but the rising yield trend has become undeniable.
Despite concerns about deflation in China leading to a decline in yields, the global trend of rising yields continues to put pressure on cryptocurrency prices.