At present, no policy or narrative can change the situation. The overall market value of cryptocurrencies is currently $2.92 trillion, almost the same as when BTC was $69000 after the last round of major liquidity injections. Only when the Federal Reserve's monetary easing policy starts to take effect will the trend change. Shanzhai does not indicate where BTC will fall, and we need to look at the trend and whether various opportunities will occur. The analyst's probability of 57000 on the chart is still very high. Assuming that FOMO starts with 4, it is not impossible. Everything still depends on when the Federal Reserve will loosen monetary policy. The big trend of spot trading is like this. We wait for the start and end of the trend, operate less and do not operate. Once the situation stabilizes, we will move forward aggressively.