Macroeconomic Interpretation: The global capital market is quietly reshaping the asset landscape amidst a storm triggered by political maneuvering. The Trump administration's tariff threats, the Federal Reserve's "cowardly game," the gold price breaking through the historical high of $3,500, and Bitcoin's counter-trend breakthrough of $88,877 create a dramatic scene in contemporary financial history. Behind this economic stage play, the crypto industry is pushing itself onto Washington's power table with $18 million in political donations.
Trump's "tariff charge" has stirred up a storm in academia, with 1,368 scholars signing the "Anti-Tariff Declaration," directly pointing out that his policies are repeating the mistakes of the 1930s Great Depression. The revival of this modern version of the "Smoot-Hawley Act" has caused the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries to soar like a startled bird, forcing Wall Street traders to swallow two stomach pills every morning before opening their terminals. As the White House paints a rough blueprint of "Making America Great Again" on the palette of tariff barriers and central bank interventions, global capital begins to vote with its feet—$19 billion net inflow into gold ETFs in the first quarter, while investors collectively sign a motion of distrust.
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell may be seeking courage from the portraits of past chairmen at this moment. This central bank governor, nicknamed "Mr. Too Late" by Trump, is experiencing the most perilous constitutional crisis in the Fed's 107-year history. Smart money on Wall Street has already sensed the danger: a 10% drop in the dollar index over three months, and the throne of dollar hegemony is showing signs of loosening. The collapse of the Turkish lira serves as a cautionary tale for the crypto revolution, and now the White House's wavering on central bank independence has Bitcoin holders excitedly posting "Thank you, Mr. President" jokes on social media.
The split personality of the capital market is vividly displayed at this moment. While the tech giants of Nasdaq evaporate $404.6 billion in market value in a single day, Bitcoin, backed by $556 million in real cash from Strategy, performs a stunning comeback like a "red dot among a sea of green." This divergence is by no means accidental— the simultaneous surge of crypto assets and gold reveals that institutional investors are constructing a "de-dollarization" hedging matrix. Citibank's prediction of five rate cuts by the Fed this year, along with Standard Chartered's observation of a flood of funds into gold ETFs, collectively outlines a picture of the market's faith in dollar assets collapsing.
The crypto industry's $18 million in political donations is quietly changing the power equation in Washington. From Ripple to Coinbase, these once-punished crypto giants are paving a red carpet to the core of power with crypto assets. This ambiguous dance between capital and politics inevitably reminds one of the railroad tycoons of the Gilded Age—only this time, they are not selling tracks but a digital utopia built on blockchain. As crypto executives clink glasses with traditional industry giants at Trump's inauguration champagne party, a new type of revolving door relationship is forming.
From a macro perspective, this asset upheaval is essentially a rehearsal for the reconstruction of the global credit system. The shine of gold and the leap of Bitcoin are not only a continuation of traditional hedging logic but also a revolutionary declaration of value storage in the digital age. JPMorgan's warning about the crisis of Fed independence, along with the Bank of Canada's emphasis on rising inflation risks, is pushing more institutional investors into the embrace of "non-sovereign assets." As Singapore, the eighth-largest foreign exchange reserve country, begins to increase its Bitcoin holdings, and BlackRock's funds continue to ramp up their gold investments, the boundaries between tradition and innovation are blurring in the capital flow.
The market always swings between fear and greed, but the uniqueness of this cycle lies in the fact that political variables are becoming the dominant factor in asset pricing. Trump's "Twitter governance" and Powell's silent resistance form the most absurd monetary policy scenario in modern financial history. In this uncertain April, the only certainty is that when the final whistle blows on the "cowardly game" between the White House and the Fed, Bitcoin and gold, this seemingly discordant pair, may stand together on the podium smiling. And for ordinary investors, perhaps they should remember the advice of survivors of the 1929 Great Depression: when all ships are sinking, at least grab onto a piece of deck that can float, even if it is made of digital gold.
According to CoinAnk AI's intelligent analysis, the BTC 4H market analysis report is as follows:
Main support level: 86,888.40 USDT
Main resistance level: 89,411.40 USDT
Current trend: Slightly bullish
Detailed explanation:
Technical indicators summary:
Moving Average System: Bullish arrangement. The current price is above MA5 (87,962.32) and MA10 (87,445.14), and MA5 has crossed above MA10, indicating a short-term bullish trend.
MACD: Golden cross in operation. DIF (981.45) is above DEA (721.74), and the MACD histogram (259.71) is positive, indicating market momentum is leaning towards bullish.
BOLL: The price is between the upper band (89,097.06) and the middle band (86,145.18), with %B (0.89%) close to the upper band, indicating the market is in a strong zone.
RSI: Overbought. RSI6 (76.76) and RSI12 (72.36) are both above 70, indicating the market may be overheated, but it needs to be judged in conjunction with other indicators.
KDJ: Golden cross in operation. K (85.37) and D (80.91) are both at high levels, and J (94.29) is close to the overbought area, indicating the market still has upward momentum.
Indicator data:
Funding rate: -0.00196000%. This value has not reached -0.02%, indicating that market bearish sentiment is not obvious, and prices may continue to rise.
Volume changes: Recent trading volume has increased, especially during price rises, with good volume-price coordination, showing strong bullish power in the market.
Capital flow data: Significant net inflow of contract funds, especially in the 12H and 24H cycles, indicating active bullish funds in the market.
Analysis result:
Direction: Cautiously bullish
Entry timing: It is recommended to enter when the price pulls back to near MA5 or breaks through resistance to chase long.
Stop-loss setting: Set the stop-loss at 3% below.
Target price: The target is set at an expected return of about 3.8%. If the market continues to be strong, the target can be appropriately raised to around 10%.
Note: This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice!
免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。
