——Operation Ideas Under the Key Long-Short Game of Bitcoin and Ethereum
1. Market Review of Last Week: Bottom Rebound, Fluctuation Unresolved
Severe Volatility
Bitcoin (BTC): Rapid decline at the beginning of last week, hitting a low of $74,500 (breaking previous low), followed by a strong rebound to $86,000, but failed to hold, pressured back into fluctuation.
Ethereum (ETH): Synchronized drop to $1,384 before rebounding, peaking at $1,690, also faced resistance and fell back, trapped in the $1,520-$1,660 fluctuation range.
Current Market Status
Downward Risk in Major Trend: Daily level still shows bears in control, need to be cautious of further potential pullbacks.
Short-term Fluctuation Accumulation: Daily level rebound momentum is insufficient, key resistance levels remain unbroken, and the market is waiting for new directional signals.
In last week's market analysis, three major operational suggestions were provided, and Ethereum's performance was basically in line with expectations, while Bitcoin had a significant rebound after breaking the third range.
2. Key Signal Interpretation from the Technical Perspective
Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis
Daily Level:
Clear Resistance Pressure: Multiple failed attempts to break above $86,000, with the upper Bollinger Band (around $86,000-$86,500) forming strong pressure.
Support Range: $78,000-$80,000 is the key short-term support zone; breaking below may accelerate the decline.
Focus of Long-Short Game: If it holds above $86,000, upward space may open; conversely, if it loses $78,000, it may test lower support.
Ethereum (ETH) Analysis
Four-Hour Level: The three lines of the Bollinger Band are flat, with prices fluctuating narrowly between $1,520-$1,660, lacking breakthrough momentum.
Daily Level: $1,690 is a strong recent resistance, while $1,520-$1,540 is a short-term defensive level; breaking this would look towards below $1,400.
3. Operational Strategy and Point Planning (Note: Strategies need to be flexibly adjusted according to real-time market conditions, with strict stop-loss settings)
Bitcoin: Build short positions in batches in the $84,800-$85,800 range, targeting the lower edge of the four-hour track, defending the previous high (daily Bollinger Band upper pressure + multiple resistances).
Open long positions in the $81,500-$82,000 range, targeting the middle and upper edges of the four-hour track for partial profit-taking, defending $80,000 (short-term support zone + rebound repair demand).
Ethereum: Build short positions in batches in the $1,630-$1,660 range (upper resistance of the fluctuation zone), targeting the lower edge of the four-hour track, defending the previous high (breakout stop-loss).
Open long positions in the $1,560-$1,580 range (support at the lower edge of the range + rebound momentum), targeting the middle and upper edges of the four-hour track for partial profit-taking, defending $1,500.
4. Core Logic and Risk Alerts
Nature of Fluctuation Market
The market is in a long-short game phase, with major trends unclear, caution is needed for false breakout traps.
$86,000 for Bitcoin and $1,690 for Ethereum are the dividing lines for long and short; breaking through would reverse the trend, otherwise maintain a high short and low long strategy.
Key Points for Risk Control
Batch Positioning: Avoid heavy positions in one go to reduce volatility risk (e.g., split short positions into 2-3 entries).
Always Use Stop-Loss: The probability of sudden breakouts is high in a fluctuating market, strictly use stop-loss to protect capital.
Monitor Correlation: If BTC breaks down, it will lead to a synchronous drop in ETH, closely observe the movements of the leading coin.
5. Summary: Defend to Attack, Wait for Direction
The current market is in a critical decision period, and the technical perspective has not provided clear trend signals. It is recommended for investors to:
Buy Low and Sell High Within the Range: Short-term operations within the BTC $78,000-$86,000 and ETH $1,520-$1,660 ranges.
Follow Breakout Strategy: If BTC holds above $86,000 or ETH breaks $1,690, consider light positions to chase long; conversely, if support breaks, short in the direction of the trend.
Reduce Frequent Trading: Fluctuating markets can easily lead to repeated stop-outs; patiently wait for quality entry signals.
(Note: The above is a technical analysis; actual trading should combine news and position management.)
Follow the public account — Bitcoin Big Bear (for more real-time strategies)
(Note: 📣 Due to the limited timeliness and depth of information on public platforms, the market changes rapidly. Key turning points, precise operational strategies, and sudden risk alerts need to be synchronized in real-time on (public account — Bitcoin Big Bear). Here, you can receive: real-time strategy push, in-depth analysis support, interactive Q&A, risk warnings, and optimization suggestions for personal holdings. 🚨 Remember: The market always rewards those who act faster and have more accurate information! Be a winner among the minority.)
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