At the moment XRP may be at its most critical price point of 2025. Recent price activity suggests a possible breakdown below the descending price channel, which could alter the asset's technical outlook and traders' sentiment. The asset has reached the lower boundary of its long-running descending price channel.

For months XRP has been trying to stabilize in the face of wider market volatility by moving back and forth between resistance and support in a descending channel. But a recent decline below $1.90 and a close outside the channel around $1.80 suggest possible trouble down the road. XRP recovered above $1.08 after a slight upswing, but the trend's structure is now vulnerable to invalidation. The possibility of this channel's breakdown being confirmed is the main technical worry.

XRP/USDT Chart by TradingView

A deeper correction toward $1.65 or even $1.50 may be possible if XRP is unable to regain the $1.95-$2.00 zone in the near future. This would indicate that the support structure has been breached. Its multi-month trading pattern would be significantly altered by this, which might increase selling pressure. Key moving averages are converging overhead, which makes this moment even more important. 

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The 50, 100 and 200-day moving averages are all below XRP's current price, adding layers of resistance as momentum wanes. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is currently at 33, indicates oversold conditions, but without bullish confirmation on volume and structure, it might not be sufficient to trigger a reversal. 

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Conversely if XRP is able to recover significantly from its current levels and reenter the channel, it may indicate a bear trap, which could draw in sidelined buyers and boost confidence. In this case, reclaiming the $2.00-$2.15 range would be crucial. XRP is at a technical juncture.

The course of the next few days may determine whether the asset stages an unexpected recovery or embarks on a protracted downward trend. Investors and traders should keep a close eye on price movement because this could be the year's most pivotal moment for XRP.

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