Old Cui says about coins: Defying the heavens to change fate, can Trump continue the bull market in the crypto world?

CN
6 hours ago

The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is in turmoil, all for profit! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui talking about coins, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the vast number of coin friends. Welcome everyone's attention and likes, and reject any market smokescreens!

Fortunately, I advised everyone a bit. Trump's signal came so timely. After Bitcoin dipped to 78,200, it quickly recovered and returned to around 86,000, and there is still an upward repair trend. This kind of downward market really does not need us to worry; Trump's losses may be far greater than ours. Back to the point, the short-selling issues mentioned yesterday will not undergo a qualitative change due to a meeting with Trump. It still depends on the implementation measures and whether they can attract funds to choose the cryptocurrency market again. Behind this sensational news, the problems reflected have not been fundamentally resolved, and the funding issue remains the most severe test facing the cryptocurrency market. Judging from the level of funds, the subsequent volatile market will continue, and it is still impossible to achieve a one-sided upward trend in the near future. Therefore, for everyone's arrangements, the focus should be on unblocking long positions rather than hoping for profit targets on long positions. Based on the favorable news from the conference, this round of growth has once again achieved nearly a 10,000-point fluctuation. The next round of favorable news may not necessarily lead to another 10,000-point rise, so everyone should be prepared to exit long positions.

Regarding this decline, Lao Cui actually prefers not to discuss the depth of the market with everyone. I have witnessed many coin friends being liquidated; this is the cruelty of the financial market. Therefore, what I want to convey in this section is more about the attitude towards investment. The repeated new highs in the cryptocurrency market have attracted a large number of investors, most of whom are novices. I wonder how everyone understands investment. In Lao Cui's worldview, investment is a process of expanding idle funds through various means, not a gamble. Do not borrow money or even take out loans to enter the investment market. The financial market is a place where big fish eat small fish, so position management is especially important. I see many users entering the Bitcoin market with liquidation points even below 10,000; this choice, even in a bull market, can lead to total ruin after a strategic adjustment. This is not the best choice. The distance from the cryptocurrency market to the bottom is being widened, especially for Bitcoin, which is particularly prominent. The Bitcoin market is fundamentally not a place for ordinary people to enter, which is why small coins have emerged. Using Bitcoin's miracles to attract newcomers to invest, only to cut them down, is the cruel reality. In the face of major fluctuations, we do not seek profit but hope to preserve our capital, which still relies on spot trading.

I have digressed a bit. Regarding future planning, Lao Cui is also very straightforward. In the face of major fluctuations, the strategy is to continuously buy at low prices, gradually building positions, and waiting for this wave of growth. The market will still operate under major fluctuations, and the so-called favorable news is merely related to Trump's cryptocurrency conference. I also need to remind everyone that before the meeting on March 7, tariffs will increase on March 4. These two points represent the confrontation between bulls and bears. Unless there is significant favorable news before the tariff increase, the cryptocurrency market will continue its downward trend. This is a comforting message for those trapped in short positions; there is still a chance to unblock short positions. Regarding significant favorable news, I need to clarify that the details of legal compliance, Trump's commitments, and the strategic deployment of the U.S. are all favorable news. As long as one piece of favorable news receives Trump's commitment, the market will return to an upward trend. If there is only verbal support, the upward trend will reverse within half a month. The question to consider at this stage is, where will the funds come from? As mentioned yesterday, all financial markets are nearing a state of overextension, and the funds that should be invested have already been exhausted. The growth of the cryptocurrency market needs to provide an explanation for the funds; how can large funds be drawn from other markets into the cryptocurrency market? This is what Trump should consider. At the same time, if favorable news can emerge, then the gray market theory will be thoroughly validated, proving that Trump is highly ambitious and may drive most gray market funds into the cryptocurrency market, thus achieving a certain level of monitoring, or even using it for himself.

You can also see clues from the U.S. stock market, where almost all three indicators have increased by more than 1%. The investment in funds is even greater than in the cryptocurrency market. Ethereum has reached a new high in two weeks, and the increase began before Trump's remarks. The importance of first-hand information is self-evident. With 100 billion flowing into the Bitcoin market, these two markets seem to have formed a tacit understanding. There is a sense of mutual growth, and competition is also present. With so much capital flowing in, who is the driving force behind it has become a new mystery. In the face of the current market, we must abandon illusions. Without a clear distinction between bull and bear, there will be profits. In a major fluctuation, the way to unblock trapped long and short positions is to pull the average price. The initial entry position and supplementary positions become key. The current position ratio must be kept below 2%, and the bearable point must be above 30,000 for Bitcoin and above 1,000 for Ethereum, forming effective remedial measures. Supplementing positions while waiting for the bull market to grow is the only feasible path. As for the form of hedging, certain experience is also required. Cutting losses can be understood but is not advocated. Under this position ratio, it is difficult to incur significant losses.

Lao Cui summarizes: Recent fluctuations have been strong. Whether bullish or bearish, making the wrong choice will lead to short-term trapped positions. Yesterday I mentioned that it will not drop to the levels before the bull market, and today I also want to say that it will not break through the previous high points. Currently, all fluctuations will be controlled by the higher-ups, and we need not worry unnecessarily. The subsequent trend has already been mentioned; major fluctuations and Trump's meeting will determine the future trend. Regarding the development of tariffs, Lao Cui cannot elaborate, but I can only say that the increase in tariffs is not favorable for the cryptocurrency market. Without Trump's strong support, based on the current scale of funds in the cryptocurrency market, a halving is not a problem. The biggest giant is Trump; his actions will determine the trend of the cryptocurrency market in the first half of the year. We will wait for the process and results of Trump's meeting. If the aforementioned favorable news can be achieved, it will at least ensure a month of prosperity for the cryptocurrency market. If it cannot be achieved, it will return to new low points within half a month. Users who did not buy the dip earlier need not blame themselves. Although Lao Cui supports everyone to buy the dip and has mentioned that buying the dip is necessary during a downturn, facing this market indeed requires points. The real market will come later; let us look forward to March 4 and 7. Users who are trapped and have questions about points can directly ask Lao Cui. Finally, those entering the market recently must do so under the downward trend to buy the dip and supplement positions according to the position ratios mentioned in the previous section; there should not be too many problems. After today's repair, the downward trend still exists; it depends on whether Trump's ability can reverse the cryptocurrency market. Keeping a close eye on Trump's remarks may be more effective than watching K-line fluctuations!

Original creation by WeChat public account: Lao Cui Talks About Coins. For assistance, please contact directly.

Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess. A master can see five, seven, or even more than ten moves ahead, while a novice can only see two or three moves. The master considers the overall situation and the big trend, not focusing on one piece or one area, aiming for the final victory. The novice, however, fights for every inch of land, frequently switching between bullish and bearish, only competing for short-term gains, resulting in frequent entrapment.

This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading based on this is at your own risk!

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