The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit to go! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui talking about coins, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the vast number of coin friends. Welcome everyone's attention and likes, and reject any market smoke bombs!

The market has finally declined, and the phased layout has finally passed smoothly. Today, let's review the issues regarding USDT. Last year, I mentioned that everyone should try not to hold USDT, and the reasons have been thoroughly analyzed with everyone. With Trump's recent actions, it can be seen that the offensive against Tether is about to fully unfold. The official announcement of USD1 will complete the total strangulation of USDT, and this series of actions is almost the same as my predictions from last year. There is no need to worry too much; this is similar to the competition between Coinbase and Binance, where they first support the corresponding opponent and then invest, which will significantly reduce costs. Trump's pricing competition for USDT will definitely unfold, and everyone shouldn't hold too much hope. The target of USD1 is the real dollar, which has the same functions as the dollar and is even backed by government bonds, making it certainly safer than USDT in terms of security. As for the positioning of USDT, it will definitely have an impact in the short term. For us ordinary investors, it is better not to hold too much USDT and try to hold stable coins to get through this awkward period.

Everyone must pay attention to the emergence of USD1. From the perspective of exchange rates, USDT is generally higher than the international exchange rate, by about 0.1. The emergence of USD1 will level this standard, and this phenomenon will inevitably lead to a decline in the market value of coins. Of course, these are all future discussions. After all, USDT is still the unified currency used in the coin circle, with a too large market share, so we still need to observe the subsequent developments. At the same time, the growth of gold is indeed terrifying. International giants like Goldman Sachs and BlackRock must have sensed a certain crisis, as they have been holding more and more gold recently. Everyone needs to pay attention to the energy and gold sectors. Recently, new highs in gold predictions have appeared, generally maintaining around 3300-3500. The surge in gold is not beneficial for all industries. It may involve other fields, and if you want to consider entering a stable investment sector, energy and gold may be industries you can consider holding a portion of before next year. As for recommendations, Lao Cui can currently suggest that everyone pay attention to the top platform tokens. Various signs indicate that Trump seems to have invested in a certain platform, and everyone can choose at the low point.

This news is basically inferred from the release of USD1, using public chains to deduce the logic behind it. Previously, there were rumors of possible investments, and now with the release of USD1, it will adopt the Ethereum public chain and a certain platform's public chain. Lao Cui previously speculated that it would mainly be based on Coinbase, but now it seems to be based on other platforms, which can only indicate a clear distinction between public and private. This news may be revealed to everyone within a reasonable timeframe, thus driving a wave of growth. For users with a certain vision, as long as it is below 600, you can strategically reserve some. Once realized, the ultimate goal is to see it above 1000. Even after achieving this, it may become the first listed platform token. This vision will definitely be realized on an annual basis, and users with long-term investment goals can try to enter the market, but for those with speculative intentions, it is still advisable to be cautious. Regarding the competition for pricing power in the coin circle, do not overlook this issue. Once Trump successfully gains a certain level of control over the coin circle, there will be no privacy left in the coin circle. The gray industry theory will definitely be realized. When all gray industries converge in the coin circle, the market value can be enhanced, and a subtle consensus will be reached between black and white, which can indeed reflect the values of Europe and America. These are almost impossible to achieve in our thinking. Looking from a different perspective, the gray industry is gradually converging into the coin circle, which is worth our collective contemplation.

For the short-term coin circle, there are neither favorable nor unfavorable news. At this stage, it is a competition for capital. It can be seen that so many positive news have not had a significant impact on Bitcoin. As long as the storm of public opinion passes, Bitcoin's price will immediately decline. The capital in the coin circle is gradually being eroded, showing signs of a storm approaching. When the price rises, as I mentioned about the new low, you may not care, but do you still think the new low is far away? Even if March is perfectly passed, there are still April and May to wait for, and only after June will there be capital intervention. How to get through the remaining three months has become a question for bulls to consider, so these three months will be the main battlefield for bears. Do not take the inflow of the American spot index as a reference. According to their data, Bitcoin's price should still be above 100,000. The index will not directly intervene in the spot category. The inflow of the index will not have a qualitative impact on the spot; what is more important is the trend. This inflow of capital index only indicates that there will be new highs this year, not that the short-term trend will change. In this wave of downward trend, you also need to grasp the opportunity, and how to find the entry point for long positions during the decline is what you need to think about.

On the other hand, if you want to invest in the gold market, you need to distinguish between the domestic market and the international market. Many friends see the domestic gold price skyrocketing, even exceeding the international growth rate, which has led many users to consider purchasing physical gold domestically. I would like to remind those who are thinking of buying gold that the crazy rise in domestic gold prices is more related to the exchange rate, and the profits generated by the exchange rate have caused this phenomenon. Once the CNY strengthens again, these profits will all be returned, so it is better to purchase gold based on international prices. In fact, physical gold does not belong to the investment category unless you can purchase it at the international average price. The price of physical gold does not provide investment advice. Especially for those planning to buy gold jewelry, it will definitely incur losses at this stage, as jewelry is a luxury item and does not belong to the investment category. If there are further military occurrences, gold will definitely rise again, and the risk index is currently increasing, which may again affect the current financial landscape. For users with certain funds, the gold market is indeed superior to the coin circle, and you can think deeply about it. However, for those with speculative attributes, influenced by military factors, the coin circle may also experience certain fluctuations, and the chances of making profits from shorting are infinitely amplified.

Lao Cui's summary: Whether from a financial perspective or other politically related influences, there are no significant favorable news for the short-term coin circle. As long as you are not caught up in the public opinion market, it is better to focus on shorting. In the next three months, the main responsibility for spot users is to find the bottom target, and these two do not conflict. Especially for users holding spot, every rebound must manage to break even on the invested cost; this is very important, at least allowing for a plan to withdraw at any time when the opportunity reverses. Due to military influences, the short-term downward space may be lower than our previous estimates, so try to use contracts to balance your losses. As for spot users, remember not to move your stop-loss; the timing for everyone has not yet arrived. This year will reach the targets in your hearts, so do not rush. The profits from short positions should aim to double the profits once a week, and when calculated daily, it must maintain around 30% income per day. Misjudging a wave of market trends should not lead to losses of your principal, which is the best position management. Bitcoin's rebound will be stronger than other coins, while Ethereum will not see an excessive reversal. This wave of USD1's listing may cause a short-term rebound. Users wanting to go long can try around the listing week, but going long should mainly rely on public opinion trends; during other time periods, only shorting is advisable.

Original content by: Lao Cui talking about coins. For assistance, please contact directly.

Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess; a master can see five, seven, or even ten steps ahead, while a novice can only see two or three steps. The master considers the overall situation and strategizes, not focusing on one piece or one area, aiming for the ultimate victory. The novice, however, fights for every inch, frequently switching between long and short positions, only competing for short-term gains, resulting in frequent entrapment.

This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading based on this is at your own risk!

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