QCP Group’s market insights reflected on bitcoin (BTC) dipping below $100,000 with other risk assets also declining, as concerns over China’s Deepseek technology rippled through global markets.

Deepseek, a Chinese large language model (LLM) is disrupting U.S. AI dominance with cost-efficient and open-source capabilities, fueling fears of its potential impact on U.S. equity markets.

The report analyzed possible responses from President Trump with the option to leverage aggressive policies, including tariffs to protect U.S. interests.

For bitcoin, bullish momentum appears stalled without confirmation of a proposed strategic bitcoin reserve (SBR). While the Trump administration’s evaluation of a “national digital asset stockpile” has captured attention, it hasn’t been enough to sustain market optimism in the near term. Traders are favoring March call options, signaling expectations of limited upside until the end of Q1.

However, market volatility remains high ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Thursday, Jan. 30. Despite the price volatility, analysts expect bitcoin to continue trading within the $95,000 to $108,000 range.

With geopolitical tensions and monetary policy decisions looming, bitcoin’s trajectory will depend heavily on market developments and potential interventions from the Trump administration in the coming weeks.

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