Coin Metrics: Observing the Stablecoin Bull Market

CN
4 hours ago

Analyzing the growth of stablecoin supply, trading volume, on-chain usage, and yield generation.

Written by: Tanay Ved & Matías Andrade Cabieses

Translated by: Shan Ouba, Jinse Finance

Key Points:

  • The total supply of issued stablecoins has expanded to $189 billion, with Tether's USDT accounting for $125 billion (66% of the total supply), while stablecoins issued on Ethereum total $104 billion (55% of the total supply).
  • In addition to serving as a store of value, stablecoins are also a crucial medium of exchange during bull markets. Following the elections, stablecoin trading volume across major exchanges surged to $120 billion, with the most traded pairs including BTC, ETH, SOL, and memecoins.
  • With adjusted stablecoin transfer volume (in USD) surpassing $50 billion in November, on-chain activity is on the rise. Driven by the usage of USDC, Solana's stablecoin trading volume reached an all-time high.
  • Fueled by bullish market sentiment and rising financing rates, Ethena's USDe and staked USDe (sUSDe) have seen rapid growth since the third quarter, showcasing the evolving yield-driven dynamics of stablecoins.

Introduction

As the cryptocurrency market enters a bull phase, stablecoins have also regained upward momentum, with total issuance exceeding $189 billion. This influx indicates a continuously growing liquidity environment, as users can capitalize on price increases and opportunities emerging within the on-chain ecosystem. M&A activity in the cryptocurrency space is heating up, with Stripe acquiring the stablecoin payment platform Bridge for $1.1 billion in October, and Coinbase acquiring Utopia Labs, further propelling the industry's growth momentum. Stablecoins continue to be a central theme across the financial sector, poised to become pillars of fintech, payments, and the global financial system.

In this week's Coin Metrics network status report, we delve into the stablecoin space based on data, exploring its key role as a medium of exchange during bull markets and analyzing the on-chain adoption of key metrics.

Stablecoin Overview

The stablecoin space is continuously expanding in depth and breadth. Following significant profits by existing players like Tether, traditional finance and crypto-native issuers are also entering the market, leading to a steady influx of stablecoins. Meanwhile, stablecoins are establishing a broader footprint across chains, especially as alternative Layer-1 and Layer-2 ecosystems mature. Consequently, Coin Metrics' coverage of stablecoins has expanded to over 35 different stablecoins and continues to grow.

Tether's USDT total supply stands at $125 billion, maintaining the largest share of stablecoin issuance with a market share of 66%. Circle's USDC follows closely with a total supply of $36 billion and a market share of 19%. In terms of networks, Ethereum is the blockchain with the most stablecoin issuance, accounting for $104 billion (55%) of the total stablecoin supply. Tron continues to hold a 33% share of stablecoin supply across networks, primarily driven by USDT. Solana and Ethereum's Layer 2 networks (Arbitrum, Base, Optimism) collectively account for about 7.5% of the total stablecoin supply, reflecting their growing but still emerging stablecoin ecosystems.

Market Surge, Stablecoin Trading Volume Soars

As one of the earliest use cases, stablecoins have proven their role as a medium of exchange in both bull and bear markets. In an upward-trending market, stablecoins serve as a bridge for users to access other tokens within the ecosystem, acting as an essential source of liquidity for facilitating on-chain and trading activities. During market downturns or volatility, they can also serve as a store of value or savings mechanism, allowing users to preserve wealth or earn from on-chain and off-chain sources. This makes stablecoins indispensable across various market conditions, geographies, and time zones.

Following the elections, the cryptocurrency market surged, and trading activity increased, with stablecoin trading volume across exchanges surpassing $120 billion. Among them, Tether's USDT accounted for about 80% of the recorded spot trading volume on November 12, totaling $95 billion. First Digital USD (FDUSD) also gained significant traction, with daily spot trading volume soaring to $16 billion (about 17% of the total), while Circle's USDC reached $11 billion, setting a record for the highest weekly average spot trading volume to date.

We can further analyze the specific stablecoins and crypto assets driving November's activity. Major assets like BTC, ETH, and SOL, along with memecoins like DOGE and PEPE, prominently featured among the top 10 trading pairs across exchanges. While the dominance of mainstream currencies is not surprising, the influence of memecoins indicates increased retail participation as BTC reaches new price highs. Consequently, the "special coins" segment in datonomy™ (including meme coins, privacy coins, and remittance coins) has emerged as the best-performing segment, with a return rate of 63% over the past 30 days.

On-Chain Economic Activity and Usage

Stablecoins play a crucial role not only as a medium of exchange and source of liquidity on exchanges but also for non-trading use cases, such as facilitating transactions and settling economic value on-chain. Stablecoins are ideal tools for consumer and B2B payments, remittances, wealth storage, or seeking economic stability and access to financial infrastructure, especially in emerging markets.

By leveraging some on-chain metrics, we can better understand how stablecoin-driven economic activity evolves over time and the extent of their usage across different public blockchains.

In November, the weekly adjusted transfer volume of native units between different stablecoin addresses exceeded $50 billion. Of this, $18.2 billion (38%) came from USDT on Tron, and $12.3 billion (23%) came from USDT on Ethereum, both setting new trading volume records. USDC on Ethereum and Solana also showed greater appeal, with transfer volumes on the rise.

Notably, stablecoin trading volume on Solana reached a historic high of 3.86 million transactions in November. USDC continues to be the preferred stablecoin on Solana, accounting for 83% of all stablecoin-related transactions on the network. Due to Solana's lower transaction fees, the average transfer amount for USDC on the network is $20, compared to $1,400 on Ethereum. This has led to a higher transaction count on Solana, with stablecoin trading volume in November reaching 3.86 million transactions, far exceeding Ethereum's 230,000 transactions, despite Ethereum's stronger stablecoin liquidity.

We can utilize several other metrics to understand on-chain stablecoin activity, including the supply held by smart contracts and externally owned accounts (EOAs), stablecoin circulation velocity (turnover rate), active addresses, the number of addresses holding over a specific amount of stablecoins, and supply distribution. These metrics can be further explored using the coin dashboard created with our charting tools.

Yield Demand: Rising Financing Rates Drive Ethena's Growth

Another avenue driving demand for stablecoins is the provision of yield, which can serve as a form of passive income or risk management, whether in bull or bear markets. To compete with giants like Tether and Circle in adoption, some stablecoin issuers incentivize the growth of stablecoins by passing on interest to holders, thereby enhancing their value storage attributes. This encompasses various methods and risk profiles, from passing on a portion of the yield generated by real-world assets (RWAs) like U.S. Treasuries to passing on yields from staked on-chain collateral assets like ETH, or in some cases, passing on income generated from operations related to on-chain protocols (for stablecoins issued by the protocol).

Ethena brings a relatively new yield generation method for its synthetic dollar USDe (referred to as "internet bonds"). It combines hedging strategies from centralized exchanges with staking rewards to generate yield while maintaining peg stability. Crypto assets are used as collateral (BTC, ETH) to open short positions in the perpetual futures market, aiming to benefit from positive financing rates. Combined with financing and basis, Ethena passes on the yield from ETH staking rewards in the form of interest-bearing tokens, sUSDe.

Notably, there is a close relationship between the supply of USDe across various exchanges and ETH financing rates. In a positive financing rate environment, the supply of USDe and staked USDe (sUSDe) increases, while the supply decreases or stagnates when financing rates turn negative. Interestingly, Ethena recently announced plans to launch USTb, a new stablecoin collateralized by BlackRock's tokenized U.S. Treasury fund BUIDL. This stablecoin aims to serve as a supporting asset for USDe, helping to manage risks during market volatility that leads to weak financing rates. As the fastest-growing stablecoin since the third quarter, Ethena is well-positioned to capitalize on the rising financing rates.

Conclusion

Stablecoins remain the cornerstone of the digital asset ecosystem, driving liquidity, facilitating payments, enabling on-chain economic activity, and serving as tools for savings and wealth preservation. According to multiple metrics, the adoption and usage of stablecoins continue to grow, demonstrating their widespread demand and utility. As stablecoins gain attention, regulatory clarity in areas such as reserve transparency and issuance standards will drive innovation across the ecosystem and promote the growth of stablecoin-related businesses. With proactive regulatory efforts in the U.S. and globally advancing, the stage is set for the next phase of growth for stablecoins, potentially reshaping the financial ecosystem.

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