Robinhood Launches Election Bets as Polymarket, Kalshi Draw Millions — But for How Long?

CN
4 hours ago

On Monday, Robinhood said began deploying election event contracts to select U.S. customers on Oct. 28, just ahead of the Nov. 5 U.S. presidential election. Available through Robinhood Derivatives, the platform allows users to speculate on the election outcome by trading contracts tied to either Kamala Harris or Donald Trump.

Robinhood noted that customers must meet specific eligibility criteria, including U.S. citizenship, to participate in these contracts, which the company describes as tools for engaging in real-time decision-making. The new election trading feature comes on the heels of Robinhood’s HOOD Summit in Miami, where the company first teased its plans to offer futures and index options.

Who will win the US Presidential election?

Robinhood claims that its event contracts open up “democratized, accessible” trading linked to key events. The company asserts that this introduction broadens its portfolio of continuous trading options, which currently includes 24/5 stock trading. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi, two competitors in the event-driven trading arena, are seeing rapid growth. Both platforms have attracted millions through election contracts, a niche Robinhood now enters.

As Robinhood’s election market goes live, the trading industry is watching whether its entry will bolster participation or spark increased regulatory scrutiny surrounding election-related trading. Yet, once the election outcome is finalized, this immense flow of capital tied to the U.S. presidential race could swiftly disappear. This is a trend that market observers are watching carefully as prediction markets evolve over time.

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