Some crypto enthusiasts argue that the 2024 election could be a key factor influencing bitcoin prices, given how intertwined crypto has become with politics this year. Predictions are everywhere—even big players in finance are weighing in. To get some unique insights, our news desk turned to today’s leading generative AI chatbots to gauge what they foresee for BTC after the U.S. Election Day results. We consulted Openai’s Chatgpt versions 4, 4o, and the latest o1, Inflection AI’s Pi, Microsoft’s Co-Pilot, Google’s Gemini, Anthropic’s Claude 3 Sonnet, Venice.ai, and Mistral AI’s Le Chat.

We handed all nine bots a straightforward prompt, ensuring each one provided a response. It should be noted that Google’s Gemini refused to answer. The prompt was:

This experiment aims to predict where bitcoin’s price will land once the 2024 U.S. election wraps up. As an expert in the world of bitcoin and crypto assets, your task is to evaluate the likelihood of bitcoin’s price under two scenarios: if former President Donald Trump clinches the victory or if Vice President Kamala Harris takes the win. Considering what you know about these two political figures, you’ll need to put forward a dollar amount estimate for each outcome. So, in your professional opinion, what’s bitcoin’s price tag if Trump wins, and what will it be if Harris secures the presidency? Bitcoin is trading for $69K at the time of writing.

Inflection AI’s Pi:

Mistral AI’s Le Chat:

Predicting the exact price of Bitcoin, especially tied to political events, is highly speculative due to the multitude of influencing factors. However, historical trends and political stances can provide some insights. If Donald Trump wins, his pro-business and deregulatory stance might boost market confidence and potentially drive Bitcoin’s price up. Given his past association with market optimism, Bitcoin could potentially reach around $85,000. On the other hand, if Kamala Harris secures the presidency, her administration might focus more on regulation and social policies, which could introduce uncertainty in the crypto market. In this scenario, Bitcoin’s price might stabilize or see a more modest increase, potentially reaching around $75,000. These estimates are based on current market conditions and political sentiments, but actual prices could vary significantly due to other global economic factors and technological developments in the crypto space.

Venice.ai:

Given the current political climate and market trends, I predict that if former President Donald Trump clinches the victory in the 2024 U.S. election, the price of Bitcoin could potentially rise to around $85,000 to $90,000. This is due to the anticipated pro-market policies and deregulation initiatives that Trump might implement, which could lead to increased investor confidence and an influx of capital into the crypto market.

On the other hand, if Vice President Kamala Harris secures the presidency, I estimate that the price of Bitcoin could range from $75,000 to $80,000. This is because Harris’s administration might focus on regulating the crypto market, which could lead to some uncertainty among investors and potentially result in a more gradual increase in Bitcoin’s value. Additionally, a Harris presidency might bring about a more cautious approach to market deregulation, which could also contribute to a slightly more moderate price increase.

Anthropic’s Claude 3 Sonnet:

Microsoft’s Co-pilot:

Predicting Bitcoin’s price based on election outcomes is speculative, but here’s a take: If Donald Trump wins, his pro-crypto stance could boost Bitcoin to around $90,000. Conversely, Kamala Harris’s cautious yet supportive approach might see Bitcoin stabilize around $75,000. Both scenarios hinge on broader economic factors and market sentiment, so these are educated guesses rather than certainties.

The predictions from all nine AI chatbots.

Openai’s Chatgpt 4o:

If former President Donald Trump wins the 2024 election, it’s plausible that bitcoin’s price could see an uptick, potentially reaching $75,000 to $80,000. Trump’s prior administration was marked by deregulation and tax cuts, often favoring businesses and investors, which could lead to positive sentiment around bitcoin and risk assets. On the other hand, if Vice President Kamala Harris clinches the presidency, a focus on tighter regulations and tax policies could lead to investor caution, possibly pushing bitcoin to range between $60,000 and $65,000. While these predictions are speculative, market participants typically weigh policies that might impact capital gains, taxes, and regulations on digital assets, influencing bitcoin’s trajectory post-election.

Openai’s Chatgpt 4:

Predicting bitcoin’s price post-election involves considerable uncertainty, as it is influenced by numerous global economic factors beyond political outcomes. However, historically, markets react to perceived stability or volatility. If former President Donald Trump wins, his unpredictability could introduce volatility, potentially boosting bitcoin as a ‘safe haven.’ A win by Vice President Kamala Harris might be viewed as continuity in policy, possibly stabilizing the price. Therefore, under Trump, bitcoin might climb to around $75K, while under Harris, it might hover around $70K, close to its current level, assuming no significant global economic shifts.

Openai’s Chatgpt o1 mini:

Predicting Bitcoin’s price post-2024 U.S. election involves assessing how each candidate’s policies might impact the cryptocurrency market. If former President Donald Trump wins, his administration could favor stricter regulations and a more conservative approach to crypto, potentially leading to reduced investor confidence and a possible price stabilization or slight decline, estimating Bitcoin around $60,000. On the other hand, if Vice President Kamala Harris secures the presidency, her administration may support more favorable regulations and innovation in the fintech space, fostering a positive environment for cryptocurrencies. This supportive stance could enhance investor trust and drive Bitcoin’s price upward, potentially reaching approximately $85,000. However, these estimates are speculative and influenced by a multitude of economic and geopolitical factors.

Google’s Gemini:

Despite the divergent predictions from the AI chatbots, what stands out is the variability and uncertainty surrounding bitcoin’s trajectory post-election. From market confidence tied to a Trump presidency to regulatory caution under a Harris administration, the forecasts highlight how bitcoin’s price remains heavily influenced by external perceptions and shifting narratives.

While AI-generated forecasts can provide insights, they also illustrate the complexity of predicting digital asset prices. Political shifts, investor sentiment, and broader economic factors collectively play into bitcoin’s unpredictable post-election narrative.

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