On Thursday, betting activity on Polymarket indicated that former President Donald Trump has pulled ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in the race for the 2024 election. As of press time, Trump’s odds stand at 55.8%, with Harris trailing at 43.7%. This shift in favor of Trump has been observed since around Oct. 5, approximately five days ago. Polymarket participants are showing confidence in Trump taking four of six pivotal swing states, including Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Michigan, while Harris currently holds Nevada. The two are neck-and-neck in Wisconsin, with bettors split on the outcome there. Overall, Polymarket users predict that Trump will clinch the presidency and that the Republicans will gain control of the Senate. However, they also anticipate that the House of Representatives will go to the Democratic party.

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