Earlier on Monday morning, at 11 a.m. EDT, Polymarket shared, “Trump’s lead is up to 8.6% in the odds today. He’s approaching his biggest lead since Kamala Harris entered the race.”

Now, at 12:11 p.m., Polymarket’s numbers show Trump maintaining his 53% chance, with Harris holding 46.4%. In key swing states, Trump leads in Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, while Harris takes Wisconsin, Michigan, and Nevada. However, Trump’s odds in the popular vote drop to 26%, with Harris standing strong at 76%.

At the moment, Polymarket bettors predict a Republican presidency, with the Senate under Republican control and the House of Representatives going to the Democrats. Meanwhile, other betting platforms show varying odds. For example, covers.com reflects a tight race, with both Trump and Harris holding 52.4%. Over on betohio.com, Harris has a 55.6% chance, compared to Trump’s 50%.

Predictit.org presents Harris in the lead with a 53% chance, but Trump has recently surged to 51%. Predictit.org also suggests that Trump is likely to win the Electoral College. While Trump is ahead in key areas, the differences across betting sites highlight the competitive and unpredictable nature of this race, with both candidates facing a tough road ahead to secure the presidency.

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