On May 22, 2024, the price of gold stood at $2,424 per ounce. Fast forward to today, and it has gained $154, putting its value much higher. Meanwhile, an ounce of fine silver, which was priced at $32.02, is now a bit cheaper at $30.70 per ounce. With just 51 days left until the U.S. election and three days before the Federal Open Market Committee’s crucial meeting—set to decide the first interest rate cut since March 15, 2020—we conducted a fresh experiment. This time, we asked a diverse set of 11 different AI chatbots to forecast the future prices of gold and silver under these evolving conditions.

The AIs in our lineup included Google’s Gemini, Mistral AI’s Le Chat, Claude’s 3.5 Sonnet, Openai’s Chatgpt 4, 4o, 4o mini, o1 preview, o1 mini, Inflection AI’s Pi, Venice.ai, and Microsoft’s Copilot creative mode. The question posed was quite similar to the one asked on May 22, though this time it came with a few tweaks. For this experiment, the exact prompt used was:

This experiment aims to predict the prices of gold and silver by the end of 2024. As an authority in precious metals, you are to assess the probable prices of gold and silver at the end of 2024 and provide a rationale for your forecast. The global macroeconomic environment remains uncertain. Today’s date is Sept. 15, 2024, with gold currently trading at $2,578 per troy ounce and silver at $30.70 per ounce. Gold has increased by 19% over the past six months, while silver has risen by over 22% in the same period. Based on your expertise, what will be the price of gold and silver per troy ounce on Dec. 31, 2024?

Gemini’s answer:

Le Chat’s answer:

Based on current trends and macroeconomic uncertainty, gold is expected to reach $2,750 per troy ounce by Dec. 31, 2024. This 6.7% increase is driven by gold’s safe-haven appeal during uncertain times. Silver, with its higher volatility and industrial demand, is forecasted to hit $35 per troy ounce, a 13.9% rise, outpacing gold due to its dual role as a store of value and industrial metal.

Pi’s answer:

Given the current macroeconomic uncertainties, the prices of gold and silver are likely to remain strong until the end of 2024. Gold may reach $2,800 per troy ounce, driven by its safe-haven appeal. Silver, with its dual nature as a precious and industrial metal, could trade at $35.50 per ounce by year-end, supported by its demand in various industries and its role as a store of value.

Claude 3.5 Sonnet answer:

Based on current trends and macroeconomic factors, I project gold to reach $2,750 per troy ounce by December 31, 2024, driven by ongoing economic uncertainty and inflation concerns. Silver is expected to climb to $33.50 per ounce, benefiting from increased industrial demand and its historical correlation with gold prices. These forecasts assume continued global economic volatility.

Venice.ai answer:

Chatgpt o1 preview answer:

Considering ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty and recent upward trends, I project gold will reach $2,700 per troy ounce and silver will hit $33 per ounce by December 31, 2024. Safe-haven demand and inflation concerns are likely to continue driving prices higher.

Chatgpt 4o answer:

By Dec. 31, 2024, I forecast gold at $2,750 per troy ounce and silver at $33.50. Continued macroeconomic uncertainty, inflation pressures, and demand for safe-haven assets will drive these prices. Silver’s industrial demand and gold’s role as a hedge against global risks will support further gains.

The silver and gold price predictions from the 11 AI chatbots.

Chatgpt 4 answer:

Given the current macroeconomic uncertainty and the recent significant uptrends in precious metals, gold and silver are likely to continue their ascent. By the end of 2024, I project gold to reach approximately $2,750 per troy ounce and silver to hit around $33 per ounce, reflecting sustained investor interest and inflationary pressures.

Chatgpt 4o mini answer:

Given the current macroeconomic uncertainty, gold may end 2024 around $2,800 per troy ounce, driven by its role as a safe-haven asset. Silver could reach approximately $35 per ounce, benefiting from industrial demand and inflation concerns. Both metals should continue their upward trajectory due to ongoing economic volatility.

Chatgpt o1 mini answer:

By December 31, 2024, gold is projected to reach approximately $2,700 per troy ounce, while silver may climb to around $32 per ounce. Persistent global economic uncertainty and inflationary pressures are likely to bolster demand for these precious metals as safe-haven assets, driving their prices higher.

Co-pilot’s answer:

Despite the distinct programming and proprietary algorithms behind each chatbot, there’s a striking uniformity in the language used across the 11 predictions. For instance, many begin their forecasts with the phrase “Given the current,” indicating a shared linguistic pattern. Similarly, their price projections are closely aligned, with most suggesting a modest increase for both gold and silver, reflecting a consensus view on the market’s direction.

This convergence in predictive language and numerical forecasts not only underscores the bots’ reliance on similar data sets but also highlights the broader consensus about the future economic landscape, shaped by geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainties. It’s a vivid reminder of the interconnectedness of global markets and the sophisticated tools we now have to interpret their movements, serving both as a resource and a mirror to our collective economic perceptions.

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