2024 Election Bets Propel Polymarket to $111 Million in June Volume

CN
3 months ago

Polymarket has garnered attention in recent months, with statistics indicating that betting volume began to rise in January. The previous month, in December 2023, Polymarket’s betting volume was around $6.6 million, and January saw a significant increase to $54.16 million. Each subsequent month did not fall below the $38 million mark, and in May, Polymarket’s wager volume reached $63.05 million.

June was a record-setting month, with more than $100 million in bet volume, totaling approximately $111.56 million. The 2024 election has brought Polymarket to prominence, with some of the prediction market’s most popular wagers related to the presidential election. For instance, some of the largest bets today are:

  • Presidential Election Winner 2024
  • Democratic Nominee 2024
  • Will Biden Drop Out of the Race?
  • Republican VP Nominee
  • Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Nominee in 2024?

On July 2, Polymarket revealed that during the first 2024 presidential debate, a significant $8.2 million was recorded on that day. The company explained that Polymarket now holds over 85% market share of election betting worldwide. “Seeing Polymarket become the de facto source being cited and discussed during the debate was a humbling experience,” Polymarket CEO and founder, Shayne Coplan remarked this week.

Coplan added:

As price movement on Polymarket became synonymous with the impact of the debate itself, the benefits of having prediction markets on politics were underscored to millions of people following along in real-time. Polymarket’s ability to make instant sense of breaking news proves that, as we reach critical mass, truth is now more accessible than ever.

Statistics from Dune Analytics on Polymarket reveal that the platform has recorded 3,795,184 bets to date, with cumulative betting volume reaching $680.45 million. Polymarket reported that this year alone, $360 million in volume was achieved. This trajectory highlights the growing significance of prediction markets in shaping public perception and engagement, especially during pivotal events like presidential debates.

As the platform continues to expand within the betting landscape, its impact on political discourse is likely to intensify as the election approaches. To many, prediction markets provide a real-time gauge of public sentiment and a useful tool for comprehending the dynamics of any wager.

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