#Trump May Build Bitcoin Reserve#
Hot Topic Overview
Overview
The likelihood of Donald Trump establishing a national bitcoin reserve in the United States is increasing, with the probability on prediction market Kalshi rising from 40% on January 10th to 68.8%. Kalshi advisor, Kalshi, said that the likelihood of Trump establishing a national bitcoin reserve in 2025 is 70%. This trend may be related to Donald Trump Jr., the eldest son of Donald Trump, serving as a strategic advisor to Kalshi. Although there is no concrete evidence to suggest that Trump himself supports this idea, the change in probability on the prediction market reflects the market's expectation of this event.
Ace Hot Topic Analysis
Analysis
Recently, the probability of "Trump will create a national Bitcoin reserve this year" on the prediction market Kalshi has significantly increased, rising from 40% on January 10th, when the crypto market hit bottom, to the current 68.8%. This change is related to Donald Trump Jr., the eldest son of Donald Trump, joining Kalshi as a strategic advisor, and also reflects market speculation about the policy direction Trump may take. In addition, there are reports that the probability of Trump establishing a U.S. national Bitcoin reserve in 2025 is as high as 70%. Although there is no concrete evidence currently indicating that Trump will take this action, the increasing market possibility of this event reflects the growing influence of Bitcoin in the financial field and the questioning of the traditional monetary system.
Public Sentiment · Discussion Word Cloud
Public Sentiment
Discussion Word Cloud
Classic Views
Trump may establish a US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025, with a probability of 70%,
Trump's chances of establishing a national Bitcoin reserve are rising,
the probability on prediction market Kalshi has risen from 40% to 68.8%,
Trump's eldest son Donald Trump Jr. serves as a strategic advisor to prediction market Kalshi,
which may have influenced the prediction outcome,
Crypto market fluctuations may affect the likelihood of Trump establishing a national Bitcoin reserve