#Trump May Create National Bitcoin Reserve#

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Overview

The likelihood of Trump creating a national Bitcoin reserve is on the rise. On the prediction market Kalshi, the probability of this event happening has risen from 40% on January 10th to 68.8% currently. Kalshi's strategic advisor is Donald Trump Jr., who announced his joining the platform on October 13th. Kalshi states that the probability of Trump establishing a U.S. national Bitcoin reserve in 2025 is 70%. While there is no concrete evidence yet to suggest Trump has such a plan, the shift in probabilities on the prediction market indicates growing attention to this possibility.

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Analysis

The likelihood of Trump creating a national Bitcoin reserve is on the rise, with the probability of the event happening on the prediction market Kalshi rising from 40% on January 10th to the current 68.8%. This surge in probability may be linked to Donald Trump Jr., Trump's eldest son, becoming a strategic advisor for Kalshi, or the recent rebound in the cryptocurrency market. While there is no concrete evidence to suggest that Trump himself is considering creating a national Bitcoin reserve, this change in prediction market sentiment suggests a shifting market perception of his future policies. It's important to note that Kalshi's predictions don't represent the final outcome, but they reflect the market's expectations and judgment of the event.

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Trump may establish a US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025, with a probability of 70%,

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Trump's probability of creating a national Bitcoin reserve this year has risen to 68.8%,

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Donald Trump Jr., Trump's eldest son, serves as a strategic advisor to the prediction market Kalshi,

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The probability of Trump creating a national Bitcoin reserve has risen sharply after the crypto market bottomed out

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