#Trump Could Build a Bitcoin Reserve#

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Overview

The likelihood of Donald Trump establishing a U.S. national bitcoin reserve is on the rise. The probability of “Trump will create a national bitcoin reserve this year” on the prediction market Kalshi has climbed from 40% on January 10 to 68.8%, while Kalshi says there is a 70% chance of Trump establishing a U.S. national bitcoin reserve in 2025. The trend may be related to Donald Trump Jr., the eldest son of Donald Trump, being a strategic advisor at the prediction market Kalshi.

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Analysis

The possibility of Donald Trump establishing a U.S. national Bitcoin reserve is on the rise, with the probability of this event happening on the prediction market Kalshi increasing from 40% on January 10th to its current level of 68.8%. Kalshi's strategic advisor is Donald Trump Jr., who announced his joining the platform on October 13th. The latest news shows that Kalshi states the probability of Trump establishing a U.S. national Bitcoin reserve in 2025 to be 70%. This news indicates that the market's anticipation of Trump taking this action is steadily increasing. While there is no concrete evidence to suggest that Trump himself is planning to establish a Bitcoin reserve, the outcome of this prediction market reflects market speculation and expectations regarding Trump's policy trajectory.

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Trump could establish a US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025

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The likelihood of Trump establishing a national Bitcoin reserve is rising

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When the crypto market bottomed, people were skeptical about the possibility of Trump establishing a national Bitcoin reserve

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Donald Trump Jr., the eldest son of Trump, serves as a strategic advisor to the prediction market Kalshi, which may have influenced expectations about Trump establishing a national Bitcoin reserve

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