#Trump's Bitcoin Reserve Probability Increases Significantly#
Hot Topic Overview
Overview
Recently, the probability of "Trump will create a national Bitcoin reserve in 2025" on the prediction market platform Kalshi has risen sharply. From an initial 40%, it has now reached 68.8%, with some forecasters even predicting a probability as high as 70%. This trend may be related to Donald Trump Jr., the eldest son of Donald Trump, taking on the role of strategic advisor at Kalshi, or it may reflect a shift in market expectations about Trump's future policy direction. While this prediction remains controversial, its upward trend undoubtedly reflects market attention to the policy direction Trump may take.
Ace Hot Topic Analysis
Analysis
Recent predictions of a potential US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025 under a Trump presidency have seen a significant increase in probability on prediction markets, drawing widespread attention. The prediction market platform Kalshi shows the likelihood of this event occurring has risen from 40% earlier this week to 62%, even reaching 68.8% at one point. This trend could be linked to Donald Trump Jr., the eldest son of former President Donald Trump, joining Kalshi as a strategic advisor, as well as the recent rebound in the cryptocurrency market. While there is currently no concrete evidence suggesting Trump himself is considering a Bitcoin reserve, the surge in probability on prediction markets reflects market speculation and concerns surrounding potential future Trump policies. It also highlights the attractiveness and potential of Bitcoin as a digital asset.
Public Sentiment · Discussion Word Cloud
Public Sentiment
Discussion Word Cloud
Classic Views
Trump's
probability
of
creating
a
Bitcoin
reserve
in
2025
is
rising,
with
the
probability
on
prediction
markets
now
exceeding
60%,
Trump's
eldest
son,
Donald
Trump
Jr.,
serves
as
a
strategic
advisor
to
prediction
market
Kalshi,
which
could
have
an
impact
on
market
prediction
results,
Crypto
market
volatility
could
affect
market
expectations
for
Trump
to
create
a
Bitcoin
reserve,
Prediction
markets
are
divided
on
the
probability
of
Trump
creating
a
Bitcoin
reserve,
but
the
overall
trend
is
bullish