#Trump May Build a National Bitcoin Reserve#
Hot Topic Overview
Overview
Recently, the probability of "Trump creating a national Bitcoin reserve this year" on prediction market platform Kalshi has been steadily rising. This probability was only 40% on January 10th when the crypto market bottomed out, and it has now climbed to 68.8%. Additionally, Kalshi users predict a 62% likelihood of Trump creating a Bitcoin reserve in 2025, up from 40% earlier this week. Notably, Donald Trump Jr., the eldest son of Donald Trump, announced on October 13th his appointment as a strategic advisor to the prediction market Kalshi. While there is no concrete evidence currently suggesting Trump's intent to establish a national Bitcoin reserve, the probability fluctuations on prediction markets reflect the market's anticipation and attention surrounding this event.
Ace Hot Topic Analysis
Analysis
Recently, the probability of "Trump will create a national Bitcoin reserve this year" on the prediction market platform Kalshi has been steadily rising, attracting market attention. The probability was only 40% on January 10, when the crypto market bottomed out, but it has now risen to 68.8%. This indicates that the market has increasing expectations that Trump will establish a national Bitcoin reserve in the future. It is worth noting that Donald Trump Jr., Trump's eldest son, announced on October 13 that he would be a strategic advisor to the prediction market Kalshi, which may also have provided the market with more confidence. Although there is no concrete evidence currently that Trump intends to establish a national Bitcoin reserve, the change in this prediction market data reflects the market's attention and expectations regarding this event.
Public Sentiment · Discussion Word Cloud
Public Sentiment
Discussion Word Cloud
Classic Views
The likelihood of Donald Trump creating a national bitcoin reserve in 2025 is increasing, with users on prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi both placing the probability above 60%.
Donald Trump Jr., the eldest son of Donald Trump, serves as a strategic advisor to the prediction market Kalshi, potentially influencing users' predictions regarding Trump establishing a national bitcoin reserve.
Crypto market fluctuations may impact users' predictions about Trump creating a national bitcoin reserve, such as on January 10th, when the crypto market bottomed out and the prediction probability dropped to 40%.
The possibility of Trump establishing a national bitcoin reserve remains contentious, but the predictions from prediction market platforms reflect the expectations of some users regarding this event.