#Bitcoin Self-Custody Losses Exceed $1.5 Billion#

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According to River research analysis, approximately 1.6 million Bitcoin are inaccessible due to mismanagement of self-custody, representing a value exceeding $1.5 billion. This figure surpasses the amount of Bitcoin lost in exchange-related events such as the Mt. Gox hack and FTX bankruptcy. The research indicates that long-term (over 10 years) unused wallets account for the majority of losses, while short-term inactive wallets have a lower probability of loss.

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According to River's research analysis, Bitcoin losses due to mismanagement of self-custody have surpassed those related to exchange incidents, totaling approximately 1.6 million BTC, worth over $1.5 billion. This is more than the 1.2 million BTC (worth over $1.1 billion) lost in exchange incidents like the Mt. Gox hack and the FTX collapse. The research indicates that long-term (over 10 years) unused wallets account for the majority of losses, while short-term inactive wallets have a lower probability of loss. This suggests that many users may have forgotten their private keys or their hardware wallets have been damaged or lost, resulting in them losing access to their Bitcoin. This data indicates that while self-custody can provide higher security, it also requires users to assume greater responsibility in safeguarding their private keys and hardware wallets, preventing losses due to mismanagement.

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Bitcoin self-custody losses exceed $1.5 billion, primarily due to long-dormant wallets caused by mismanagement.

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The amount of Bitcoin lost to self-custody exceeds that lost in exchange events, including the Mt. Gox hack and the FTX collapse.

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Long-dormant wallets are the primary source of self-custody losses, while short-term inactive wallets have a lower probability of loss.

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River Research used a probabilistic model to analyze wallet activity and arrive at these conclusions.

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