#U.S. inflation data released#
Hot Topic Overview
Overview
The US will release December CPI data at 9:30 PM tonight, with an expected reading of 2.9%, up from the previous 2.7%. This would mark the fourth consecutive month of CPI hitting a new high. Nonetheless, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in January is as high as 97.9%, with a negligible chance of a rate cut. The market anticipates that the Fed may prolong the pause on rate cuts. Investors need to closely monitor the data to adjust investment strategies promptly, as the "Trump trade" could resurface, potentially intensifying market volatility. It is imperative to engage in robust risk management.
Ace Hot Topic Analysis
Analysis
The US will release December CPI data at 9:30 PM tonight, with market expectations at 2.9%, higher than the previous reading of 2.7%. If the data meets expectations, it will mark four consecutive months of CPI climbing to new highs. Currently, the market generally believes that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in January, with a negligible chance of a rate cut. Bank of America even predicts that the Fed may extend the pause on rate cuts. Investors need to closely monitor the data to adjust investment strategies in a timely manner, as the "Trump trade" may reappear, and market volatility may intensify. Be sure to manage your risks.
Public Sentiment · Discussion Word Cloud
Public Sentiment
Discussion Word Cloud
Classic Views
US December CPI data is expected to reach 2.9%, higher than the previous value of 2.7%, marking the fourth consecutive month of CPI climbing to a new high.
The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in January is as high as 97.9%, with a negligible expectation of a rate cut, and may even extend the pause in rate cuts.
Trump is about to take office, CPI data may exceed expectations, and trigger the "Trump trade" again, leading to increased market volatility.
Investors need to pay close attention to the data to adjust their investment strategies in a timely manner and manage risks.