#Buy Bitcoin on dips#

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Hot Topic Overview

Overview

The Bitcoin market is currently showing some stability, with prices rebounding to near $95,000, supported by bargain hunters. Recently, Bitcoin prices tested the long-term support zone of $90,000-$93,000, which has successfully prevented at least six declines since the second half of November. However, the upcoming US non-farm payrolls report will test this latest rebound. A stronger-than-expected jobs report could exacerbate concerns about the Fed's hawkish stance, further pushing up real yields, putting pressure on risk assets. On the other hand, if the jobs data is weak, it could trigger market expectations of a Fed rate cut, shifting market sentiment in favor of risk assets. Therefore, the direction of Bitcoin prices will depend on the outcome of the jobs report and the direction of the Fed's monetary policy.

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Analysis

The Bitcoin market is currently showing some stability, with prices rebounding to near $95,000, supported by bargain hunters. Recently, Bitcoin prices tested the long-term support zone of $90,000-$93,000, which has successfully prevented at least six declines since the second half of November. However, the upcoming US non-farm payrolls report will test this latest rebound. The report is expected to show an addition of 164,000 jobs in December. A stronger-than-expected jobs report could exacerbate concerns about the Fed's hawkish stance, further pushing up inflation-adjusted bond yields, which would put pressure on risk assets. On the other hand, if the jobs data is weak, it could trigger market expectations of a Fed rate cut, which would be positive for risk assets. Therefore, the direction of Bitcoin prices will largely depend on the outcome of the jobs report. Additionally, the large amount of Bitcoin held by the US government could also have an impact on the market.

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Bitcoin buyers on dips are supporting the market, but key US jobs data could impact price action.

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Stronger-than-expected jobs data could exacerbate concerns about the Fed's hawkish stance, further pushing up real yields, which is negative for risk assets, including Bitcoin.

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If jobs data is weak, it could spark market expectations of Fed rate cuts, which would be positive for risk assets, and Bitcoin could again attempt to break through $100,000.

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The US government holds a large amount of Bitcoin, and its selling could impact market movements.

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