#Biden May Pardon SBF#
Hot Topic Overview
Overview
There is currently a lot of discussion about whether Biden will pardon SBF. According to predictions by Polymarket users, the probability of Biden pardoning SBF is 4%, higher than the 2% probability of pardoning Ross Ulbricht. While Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case. SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence, pending appeal, while Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015.
Ace Hot Topic Analysis
Analysis
There are differing opinions in the market regarding the possibility of Biden pardoning SBF. According to predictions by Polymarket users, the probability of Biden pardoning SBF is 4%, while the probability of pardoning Ross Ulbricht is 2%. This suggests that the market believes Biden is more likely to pardon SBF, despite the fact that SBF is serving a 25-year sentence, while Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison. This could be related to Biden's recent commutation of sentences for over 1,500 people, while Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case. It is important to note that these predictions are merely reflections of market sentiment and do not represent the final outcome. The ultimate decision rests with Biden, who will need to weigh various factors, including legal proceedings, public opinion, and political implications, before making a final decision.
Public Sentiment · Discussion Word Cloud
Public Sentiment
Discussion Word Cloud
Classic Views
The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, Polymarket users predict it to be 4%,
The possibility of Biden pardoning Ross Ulbricht is even lower, Polymarket users predict it to be 2%,
Biden has recently commuted sentences for over 1500 people, but the possibility of pardoning SBF is still low,
Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but Biden has not yet commented on the matter