#Biden may pardon SBF#
Hot Topic Overview
Overview
There is currently a lot of discussion about whether Biden will pardon SBF. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, the probability of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office is 4%, and the probability of pardoning Ross Ulbricht is 2%. While this probability is not high, considering Biden's recent commutation of sentences for over 1,500 people, and Trump's promise to handle Ulbricht's case, people are hopeful about the possibility of Biden pardoning SBF. It is worth noting that SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence, pending appeal, while Ross Ulbricht, the founder of Silk Road, was sentenced to life in prison in 2015.
Ace Hot Topic Analysis
Analysis
There has been much discussion recently about whether US President Joe Biden will pardon former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF). According to data from prediction market Polymarket, users believe there is a 4% chance that Biden will pardon SBF before leaving office, while the chance of pardoning Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht is 2%. Although SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence while awaiting appeal, and Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015, Polymarket users seem to think SBF is more likely to be pardoned. This could be because Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, while Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case. Despite the low probability of a pardon, the complexity of the SBF case and Biden's clemency policy make this possibility still exist.
Public Sentiment · Discussion Word Cloud
Public Sentiment
Discussion Word Cloud
Classic Views
The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, with Polymarket users predicting only 4%
The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is higher than pardoning Ross Ulbricht, who was sentenced to life in prison
Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1500 people, but the possibility of pardoning SBF remains controversial
Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, while Biden has not yet commented on the matter