#Biden May Pardon SBF#
Hot Topic Overview
Overview
There is currently a lot of discussion about whether Biden will pardon SBF. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, Biden is more likely to pardon SBF than Ross Ulbricht, with a 4% chance for the former and a 2% chance for the latter. While Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case. SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence, pending appeal, while Ulbricht, the founder of Silk Road, was sentenced to life in prison in 2015.
Ace Hot Topic Analysis
Analysis
There are differing opinions in the market regarding the possibility of Biden pardoning SBF. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, the probability of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office is 4%, while the probability of pardoning Ross Ulbricht is 2%. This suggests that the market believes Biden is more likely to pardon SBF, despite the fact that SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence, while Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015. It is worth noting that Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, while Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case. Therefore, the possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is not entirely out of the question, but the market is currently cautious about its likelihood.
Public Sentiment · Discussion Word Cloud
Public Sentiment
Discussion Word Cloud
Classic Views
The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, Polymarket users predict 4%
The possibility of Biden pardoning Ross Ulbricht is even lower, Polymarket users predict 2%
Biden recently pardoned over 1500 people, but the possibility of pardoning SBF is still small
Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but Biden has not yet made a clear statement