#Biden May Pardon SBF#

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Overview

There is currently much discussion about whether Biden will pardon SBF. According to Polymarket user predictions, the probability of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office is 4%, while the probability of pardoning Ross Ulbricht is 2%. Although Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, the complexity of the SBF case and the enormous amount of money involved make a pardon unlikely. It is worth noting that Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, while the final outcome of the SBF case remains to be seen pending further legal proceedings.

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Analysis

The current analysis on whether Biden will pardon SBF focuses on several key aspects: Firstly, Polymarket users believe there is a 4% chance of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office, and a 2% chance of pardoning Ross Ulbricht. This suggests that despite SBF serving a 25-year sentence and Ulbricht being sentenced to life imprisonment, people believe Biden is more likely to pardon SBF. Secondly, Biden recently commuted sentences for over 1500 people, indicating his potential willingness to consider pardoning SBF. However, Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, suggesting that the possibility of pardoning SBF remains controversial. Overall, the current analysis on whether Biden will pardon SBF is still unclear, and more information is needed to reach a conclusion.

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Classic Views

The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, Polymarket users believe it is only 4%,

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The possibility of Biden pardoning Ross Ulbricht is even lower, Polymarket users believe it is only 2%,

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Biden has recently commuted sentences for over 1500 people, but the possibility of pardoning SBF is still low,

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Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but Biden has not yet made a clear statement on this

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