#Biden may pardon SBF#

The current analysis on whether Biden will pardon SBF mainly focuses on the following aspects: First, according to bets by Polymarket users, the possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is higher than that of pardoning Ross Ulbricht, indicating that the market has greater expectations for SBF's release. Second, Biden recently commuted sentences for over 1,500 people, indicating that he is not completely opposed to pardons. However, it is worth noting that Polymarket users believe the probability of Biden pardoning SBF is only 4%, suggesting that the market is not optimistic about the possibility of Biden pardoning SBF. In addition, Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, while Biden has not made a clear statement on this, making the prospect of SBF's pardon even more uncertain. Overall, there is no clear conclusion yet on whether Biden will pardon SBF. The market has expectations for SBF's release, but also believes that the possibility is not high.