#Biden may pardon SBF#

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Overview

There is currently a lot of discussion about whether Biden will pardon SBF. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, Biden is more likely to pardon SBF than Ross Ulbricht, at 4% and 2% respectively. While Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case. SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence, pending appeal, while Silk Road founder Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015.

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Analysis

The current analysis on whether Biden will pardon SBF focuses on two aspects: the comparison with Ross Ulbricht and the bets made by Polymarket users. Polymarket users believe there is a 4% chance of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office, and a 2% chance of pardoning Ross Ulbricht. This suggests that users believe Biden is more likely to pardon SBF, despite SBF serving a 25-year sentence while Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison. This could be related to the nature and social impact of SBF's case, or Biden's recent actions of granting clemency to over 1500 people. On the other hand, Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, which may have led users to have lower expectations for Biden pardoning Ulbricht. In conclusion, the analysis on whether Biden will pardon SBF is still in its early stages, and more information and evidence are needed to reach a more accurate conclusion.

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Classic Views

The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, Polymarket users predict it to be 4%

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The possibility of Biden pardoning Ross Ulbricht is even lower, Polymarket users predict it to be 2%

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Biden recently pardoned over 1500 people, which may provide some possibility for SBF's pardon

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Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, which may contrast with the possibility of Biden pardoning SBF

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