#Biden may pardon SBF#
Hot Topic Overview
Overview
There is currently a lot of discussion about whether Biden will pardon SBF. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, the probability of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office is 4%, and the probability of pardoning Ross Ulbricht is 2%. While this probability is not high, it has still attracted widespread attention. It is worth noting that Biden has recently commuted sentences for over 1,500 people, while Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case. SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence, pending appeal, while Silk Road founder Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015.
Ace Hot Topic Analysis
Analysis
There are differing opinions in the market regarding the possibility of Biden pardoning SBF. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, the likelihood of Biden pardoning SBF is higher than that of pardoning Ross Ulbricht, at 4% and 2% respectively. This suggests that the market believes Biden is more likely to pardon SBF, despite the fact that SBF is serving a 25-year sentence while Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison. It's worth noting that Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, while Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, which may have also influenced the market's expectations regarding Biden pardoning SBF. However, the final outcome will depend on Biden's decision.
Public Sentiment · Discussion Word Cloud
Public Sentiment
Discussion Word Cloud
Classic Views
The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, Polymarket users predict 4%
The possibility of Biden pardoning Ross Ulbricht is even lower, Polymarket users predict 2%
Biden has recently commuted sentences for over 1500 people, but the possibility of pardoning SBF remains low
Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but Biden has not yet made any commitments