#Biden may pardon SBF#
Hot Topic Overview
Overview
Discussions are heating up about whether Biden will pardon SBF. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, Biden is more likely to pardon SBF than Ross Ulbricht, despite the latter being sentenced to life in prison. While Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, Polymarket users believe there is only a 4% chance of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office, and only a 2% chance of pardoning Ross Ulbricht. Notably, Trump had promised to look into Ulbricht's case.
Ace Hot Topic Analysis
Analysis
The current analysis on whether Biden will pardon SBF mainly focuses on the following points: First, Polymarket users believe that Biden is more likely to pardon SBF than Ross Ulbricht, who was sentenced to life in prison in 2015, suggesting that people believe there may be some special circumstances in SBF's case. Second, Polymarket users believe that the probability of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office is 4%, while the probability of pardoning Ross Ulbricht is 2%, indicating that people believe there may be some special circumstances in SBF's case, but the possibility remains low. Finally, Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, while Trump promised to handle Ulbricht's case, suggesting that Biden may be inclined to pardon some criminals, but whether he will pardon SBF remains unknown. Overall, there is still a lot of uncertainty about whether Biden will pardon SBF, and more information is needed to make an accurate judgment.
Public Sentiment · Discussion Word Cloud
Public Sentiment
Discussion Word Cloud
Classic Views
The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, Polymarket users predict 4%
The possibility of Biden pardoning Ross Ulbricht is even lower, Polymarket users predict 2%
Biden has recently commuted sentences for over 1500 people, but the possibility of pardoning SBF is still low
Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but Biden has not yet commented on the matter