#Biden may pardon SBF#
Hot Topic Overview
Overview
There is currently a lot of discussion about whether Biden will pardon SBF. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, Biden is more likely to pardon SBF than Ross Ubricht, despite the latter being sentenced to life in prison. While Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, Polymarket users believe there is only a 4% chance that Biden will pardon SBF before leaving office, and a 2% chance that he will pardon Ross Ulbricht. Notably, Trump had promised to look into Ulbricht's case.
Ace Hot Topic Analysis
Analysis
There has been much discussion recently about whether US President Joe Biden will pardon former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF). According to data from prediction market platform Polymarket, users believe there is a 4% chance that Biden will pardon SBF before leaving office, while the chance of pardoning Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht is 2%. It is worth noting that SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence, pending appeal, while Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015. While Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case. Therefore, Polymarket users believe that Biden is more likely to pardon SBF than Ulbricht, which may be related to the nature of SBF's case, its social impact, and Biden's commutation policy. However, the final outcome will still depend on Biden's decision.
Public Sentiment · Discussion Word Cloud
Public Sentiment
Discussion Word Cloud
Classic Views
The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, with Polymarket users predicting only 4%
The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is higher than pardoning Ross Ulbricht, who was sentenced to life in prison
Biden has recently commuted sentences for over 1500 people, but the possibility of pardoning SBF remains low
Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but Biden has not yet made any commitments