#Biden May Pardon SBF#

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Overview

There is currently a lot of discussion about whether Biden will pardon SBF. According to predictions by Polymarket users, the probability of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office is 4%, while the probability of pardoning Ross Ulbricht is only 2%. It is worth noting that SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence, pending appeal, while Ulbricht, the founder of Silk Road, was sentenced to life in prison in 2015. Although Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, making the possibility of SBF's pardon even more uncertain.

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Analysis

Discussions about whether President Biden will pardon former FTX CEO SBF have been heating up recently. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, Biden is more likely to pardon SBF than Ross Ulbricht, the founder of Silk Road. SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence while awaiting appeal, while Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015. Polymarket data shows a 4% chance of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office, compared to a 2% chance of pardoning Ulbricht. While these numbers are relatively low, there is still hope for a pardon for SBF, considering Biden's recent commutation of sentences for over 1,500 people and Trump's previous promise to address Ulbricht's case. However, the final outcome will depend on Biden's ultimate decision.

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The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, with Polymarket users predicting only 4%

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The possibility of Biden pardoning Ross Ulbricht is even lower, with Polymarket users predicting only 2%

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Biden has recently commuted sentences for over 1500 people, but the possibility of pardoning SBF remains small

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Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but Biden has not yet commented on the matter

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