#The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged in January.#
Hot Topic Overview
Overview
The Federal Reserve is highly likely to keep interest rates unchanged in January, with the market currently pricing in a 93.1% probability. While the ADP and initial jobless claims data have led to some increased expectations of a Fed rate cut, the probability of holding rates steady still dominates. The market expects a 58.6% probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in March, a 38.8% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut, and a 2.6% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut.
Ace Hot Topic Analysis
Analysis
The Federal Reserve is highly likely to keep interest rates unchanged in January, with the market currently predicting a 93.1% probability. This prediction comes after the release of ADP and initial jobless claims data. Prior to the release of ADP data, the market predicted a 95.2% probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged. While the market expects the Fed to cut rates in March, the current market prediction is a 58.6% probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged in March, a 38.8% probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points, and only a 2.6% probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points. This suggests that the market generally believes the Fed will keep rates unchanged in January and decide whether to cut rates in March based on economic data and inflation.
Public Sentiment · Discussion Word Cloud
Public Sentiment
Discussion Word Cloud
Classic Views
The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in January is very high, currently exceeding 93.1%.
The market expects a higher probability of the Fed cutting interest rates at the March meeting, with a probability of more than 35% for a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points.
After the release of ADP and initial jobless claims data, market expectations for a Fed rate cut have risen.
The Fed's decision to keep interest rates unchanged in January may be related to recently released economic data, such as ADP data and initial jobless claims.