加密前线(糖哥)
加密前线(糖哥)|Apr 25, 2025 09:42
Daily Market Interpretation - BTC 04/25 The sideways trend that follows a large price fluctuation is the norm in the trading market. Judging from the strength of the bullish candlestick that closed on the 22nd, it is highly likely that there will be a new high in the future. However, from a local structural perspective, the timing for reaching a new high may not be in the present, and there will be several wide fluctuations at the daily level in between. From the daily trend, today's price is the third day of a high-level sideways movement, and the volatility of the market will increase around Monday. However, the suppression of the previous structure above, as well as the bearish relationship between the current K-line and some moving averages, have greatly limited the magnitude and sustainability of the upward movement here. Therefore, I do not have the courage to play games at this position. I can only say that those who want to play must stick to MA180. In my personal subjective opinion, it is best to go sideways for a few days (or build a small M top with a small bullish line), then go downwards for a few days, and then go for another period of small sideways or high wide range oscillation (the probability of a wide range oscillation directly falling off the sideways is high, and the probability of a bearish oscillation after building the M top is high), and then connect with new fluctuations or build a new bottom on the right side, which will be relatively natural at that time. Directly pulling this position is quite awkward and prone to premature ejaculation. Pulling the yang line out directly is beyond my understanding, and I cannot give you too much advice. It is normal to frequently look at the long and short positions at the MA180 position, but from a medium to long line perspective, it is not an ideal position. From the trend of 12H, the main structure is similar to the daily line, with a more obvious divergence between the upward K-line and some moving averages. The MA250 near the hourly line can provide some short-term opportunities, but to make a big rise, both the adjustment time and the adjustment range are slightly insufficient and rushed. To put it bluntly, apart from the temporary support of the daily MA180, the relationship between prices and other long-term moving averages is a bearish trap, with only a brief surge followed by a pullback. Compared to slow response at higher levels, 4H and below are the key to grasping trends and turning points at present. From the 4H trend, the current sideways trend is repairing the large divergence rate in the early stage, which belongs to regular fluctuations. However, the market sentiment gives me a bad intuition. Whether it is a sixth sense or a nonsensical one, the MA30 space here has become smaller, and it is not recommended to invest heavily. The main focus is to guard against the emergence of the M top (the upper level is a large-scale suppression, which is also reasonable), making the first retracement within the day, and then sharply falling and drawing the M top neck line. From the 1H trend, although all levels of the trend are standard bulls, any further divergence from this position is inevitable. Combined with the suppression of large levels, it is also a very dangerous thing. If you did not seize the opportunity to enter the market before the rise on the 20th and after the rise on the 22nd, you should not make too much fuss when the high level is sideways now. Monitoring matters: On the K-line: Beware of the appearance of an M peak in 4H in the past two days, which deviates from the peak after reaching the 1H level On the moving average: Pay close attention to the risk of MA250 breaking below the 15 minute mark. If it breaks, beware of amplified downturns. At the same time, it also indicates that there is no systemic risk here, and both rises and falls are localized. If the daily chart is to rise directly, it will need to remain sideways for another 4-8 days to meet the adjustment conditions for the bullish period. Based on the trends of the above levels, the high points of each level are operating against the structural pressure of the higher levels, and there is no obvious upward space or sustainability. The short-term support effect and space of the lower levels are further weakened. It is recommended to avoid the MA30 strategy below 4H and move down a range to grab a rebound or make a high selling after breaking through and drawing. If you encounter a MA250 that lasts for 30 minutes or more, you can copy it. Do small at the lower level and big at the higher level. Large level structural suppression range 95166~98046, short-term support 91919~90733 (aggressive type, fast in and out of the market, best within 24 hours, not done for too long), second support 88888~87747 (sudden drop to rebound) BTC
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