雷神Value
雷神Value|Apr 14, 2025 08:01
Trump's tariff stick has never been an economic tool, but a political weapon. He needs to maintain the image of a "savior of American workers" in the rust belt of the Midwest, and even more so, he needs to use tariff threats to extort concessions at the international negotiation table - from fentanyl to the Russia Ukraine ceasefire agreement, tariffs have become a universal bargaining chip. But history has long proven that this kind of protectionism of drinking poison to quench thirst will only lead to chaos in the global supply chain. When 145% of the tariff fell on Chinese goods, the real dilemma began to emerge: the price of electronic products on Wal Mart's shelves doubled, Amazon's small and medium-sized sellers faced bankruptcy, and the real solution quietly grew in the underground market. The drug trafficking routes of Mexican drug lords are transforming into channels for smuggling Chinese goods, Cambodian seamstresses are working overnight to produce "Made in Vietnam" labels, and DJI drones are infiltrating at low altitude through modified cargo planes on the US Mexico border - capital can always find cracks to avoid high walls. The global trading system is experiencing its most dangerous moment since World War II. The dominance of the US dollar has cracked due to the contraction of offshore liquidity, and when globalization begins to crack, the opportunity for Bitcoin may come. When countries start experiencing a shortage of US dollars, will any country start using Bitcoin? Russia, which had previously banned cryptocurrencies, has also embraced them in recent years due to sanctions and the scarcity of the US dollar. The violent fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market may seem dangerous, but they are actually an inevitable product of the collision of old and new orders. Be alert to short-term fluctuations but do not panic and sell. Every policy induced sharp drop is a window for spot allocation and fixed investment. How much Bitcoin should you buy? Don't always think that the odds of the big cake are too low. At least you have to live to have a future and get the odds. The risk of full warehouse knockoffs is too high. This round of knockoff valuation collapse, it's hard to say how many full warehouse knockoffs can survive until the future. 10% -20% of positions are in Bitcoin, and if it enters a recession in the future, countries will release large amounts of money after the sharp decline. This is the ultimate insurance against the rampant issuance of fiat currency. Stay away from leverage, this tariff tug of war may continue until the 2026 midterm elections, hoping for an earlier good market, but also prepare for very bad situations. If you want to do grid trading and regular investment, you can go to DeGate, where there are no transaction fees or gas fees, and zk technology ensures security. https://app. (degate.com)? s=Leishen
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