Phyrex
Phyrex|Apr 07, 2025 10:36
Although Bitcoin and the US stock market are both falling now, I still feel that the US stock market will rebound in the next two days. Of course, it is also possible that my idea is wrong. The reason is that the tariffs on April 2nd were already the worst outcome. Without considering China, in fact, since April 2nd, many countries have started negotiating tariffs with the US stock market. As of last Friday, the White House provided data that more than 50 countries (regions) have already started negotiations. On Monday, we also saw that many countries (regions) in Asia began to mobilize, including Japan, South Korea, Vietnam, Taiwan, India, and others, who have new tariff policies that are not just countermeasures, but cater to the tariffs or investments of the United States. Therefore, personally, I think the worst outcome should not be as bad as the one announced on April 2nd. So the upcoming tariff data should be better than April 2nd, and even China is not completely out of the possibility of negotiation. The 20% of "fentanyl" has a chance, and looking back at today's decline, due to the Qingming Festival holiday, China's stock market did not have enough time to react. The start of the decline today should be a result of last week's tariffs and Powell's speech. Especially by April 9th (Beijing time April 10th), there is a chance for a rebound. Of course, I have to say it again, I may be wrong, and even if there is a rebound, it is still a rebound, and there are not enough conditions for a reversal now. Another reason is that US bond yields have started to rebound across the board, with VIX already exceeding 50. The last time they reached this high was in August 2024, and the last time was in March 2020. Of course, this does not necessarily mean that they will rebound immediately, and the panic should need to be vented. This tweet is sponsored by @ ApeXProtocolCN | Dex With Apex
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