Institution: The likelihood of a US economic recession is 50%, and it is expected that the Federal Reserve will announce a rate cut in June ahead of schedule

BlockBeats News: On April 7th, TD Securities stated that worsening trade tensions may prompt the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates early, and the 10-year Treasury yield may drop to 3% by the end of this year. In a report, strategists such as Oscar Munoz wrote, "Our prediction for the timing of the FOMC's first rate cut was advanced from July to June, and now we expect the committee to cut rates at every subsequent meeting until May 2026 In addition, analysts say the likelihood of a recession in the US economy is 50%. With the impact of US President Trump's tariff actions on global markets, TD Securities has joined the ranks of institutions such as Goldman Sachs and UBS Global Wealth Management to advance expectations of loose US policies. Swap traders are now pricing that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates more than four times before the end of the year, while on April 1st, the day before Trump announced the unexpected equivalent tariffs, it was expected to be around three times. (Golden Ten)