
DC大于C|Apr 06, 2025 08:51
312, the current market sentiment is still very different from 312. BTC S&P 500 GOLD
March 12, 2020 was the impact of the pandemic, causing a recession in the US economy and an extreme unemployment rate of around 14, but it was short-lived and lasted only two months.
Before 2007, the average duration of the recession was about 11 months. The Great Recession lasted for 18 months. The economic recession in 2020 was the shortest on record.
And before the recession, in early 2020, interest rates were around 1.5-1.75, and then during the recession, the Federal Reserve quickly lowered interest rates to 0-0.25 and initiated QE.
And now, the current interest rate is 4.5 and the unemployment rate is 4.2. If the interest rate reaches zero, it will take about 14-16 months, unless it is very aggressive, the shorter this time will be. But when it comes to the price trend, it's not like the situation with the 2010 312.
That is to say, if there is a final drop or golden pit, it may take several months to complete, rather than just a few days like 312.
So just like many discussions in the market, if there is a recession later on, the problem is the depth and duration of the recession.
Trump is doing customs duties like this, and Lao Bao is so tough. These two should not be acting together
Do they really want to cause a major economic recession? Time seems too late. Does Trump want to win the mid-term election next year
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