Phyrex
Phyrex|Apr 04, 2025 20:03
Yes, I didn't talk about my wrong judgment that there would be a better market in the first quarter. I was wrong because I ignored Trump's efforts on tariffs, which really suppressed the market in the first quarter. Here is my wrong judgment. I'm sorry. Although I shouldn't say it, I still want to say that although I made a mistake in my judgment, I didn't just say it out of my mind. Regardless of providing historical data, such as the risk market rising sharply after every election, January did break through a new historical high. I think history may be correct, so I ignored the potential risks that may arise. Indeed, I made a mistake in my judgment, but every time my judgment is based on what I believe to be logical. Perhaps my logic is incorrect, my knowledge is not sufficient, or I have overlooked the key points. These are all possible reasons, and I have also paid for my mistake. I bought what I should have bought first. In fact, by the end of March, I had already realized that something was wrong, so I wrote four long articles about the current market structure to explain whether it is a bull market or a bear market, and the difference between rebound and reversal. I think my biggest obsession with Q1 is to prove myself right, which is actually my biggest mistake. So I have readjusted my mentality, to be more humble and cautious, not too self-centered. For the next point of view, I will no longer be indecisive about whether I am right, but will only output the point of view itself. The result still needs to be judged by everyone themselves, thinking that it is not a problem for me to point in the opposite direction. After all, my lack of ability has disappointed my friends, so I will try my best not to point in the opposite direction. Keep learning, keep working hard, and continue sharing my favorite content. Thank you all for your support. PS: My viewpoint for the second quarter is that it will be difficult, rather than constantly falling. The reason for the difficulty is due to a lot of uncertainty, such as tariffs, GDP, and the US economy. The difficulty of judging the second quarter will be much higher than the first quarter, which is why I think it is difficult. I have a position and I am eager for a surge in the second quarter.
+6
Mentioned
Share To

Timeline

HotFlash

APP

X

Telegram

Facebook

Reddit

CopyLink

Hot Reads