
路遥 | LuYaoTrader|Apr 04, 2025 01:50
The bear has returned
This time, compared to the six-month oscillation cycle after April 2023 and March 2024, it will be more difficult to endure
At that time, six months had already caused unbearable pain to many traders
And this time, I estimate it will take over a year
This is a conclusion based on the trend of the cycle
Roughly estimate the two most likely potential paths:
1. The price of Bitcoin fluctuates widely between $70000 and $110000, fluctuating for one year in a time for space manner+
2. The price of Bitcoin fluctuates widely between $50000 and $110000, and can be cleared and exchanged for shares through a 50%+halving
Both of these methods actually completed the unilateral upward trend of the same cycle level from early 2023 to early 2025
In the early stage, there was an upward cycle that lasted for two years, followed by a pullback adjustment of at least one year+
Of course, within this adjustment cycle, it cannot be ruled out that the rebound of wave B may return to near historical highs
So, for the entire 25 years of being long, I only tried to seize this wave
Others will ignore small-scale disorderly fluctuations
As a band trend trader, shaking the market is just giving money, controlling your hands is the correct solution
This time, withdraw again after more than two years
I also suggest that everyone withdraw more money to enjoy life, even though they may not make any money or even close to zero
I didn't make any money this round either, and the funds left in the industry have hit a new low in recent years
Withdraw some money and live a few years, hoping that the remaining funds can create miracles and rise again
For most people, it's almost difficult to get rich a second time, including myself, who belong to ordinary people
Let go of persistence, focus on the present, accumulate learning, and make steady progress.
🙂🙂🙂🙂🙂
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