帕尔 | 無極Infinity®
帕尔 | 無極Infinity®|Mar 31, 2025 03:33
🔥 Par Daily Market Morning Report - BTC 3.31 🔥 I was supposed to write the weekly market report on Monday today, but the monthly and quarterly reports will be closed tomorrow. Let's write them together. Today, I will briefly discuss my opinions and operational strategies. Let's first take a look at the macro news: April 2nd (Wednesday): US President Trump plans to implement reciprocal tariffs and industry-specific tariffs, imposing a 25% tariff on imported cars and a 25% tariff on countries purchasing Venezuelan energy. April 5th (Friday) 20: 30 US March unemployment rate and non farm payroll data At 23:25, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a keynote speech. All of them are big things. One is tariffs, which are definitely biased towards negative effects. Then there are weekend data and Lao Bao's speech. It depends on the data, and the core is to focus on whether it is conducive to the expectation of interest rate cuts. ok , Then let's take a look at the market situation. 1. I won't talk about the quarterly and monthly levels, it's still in a downward trend. My goal is to look around 7 million, and I will definitely buy spot here. For regular investors, it's still better to invest below 8. I still have hope for the future of BTC. 2. Medium to long term: in terms of daily chart Previously, it had been fluctuating upwards, but after testing the D1 bearish trend, it retraced and fell below 831, causing an MSB, which marked the end of the previous volatile uptrend. Currently, 81, 80, and 765 are all liquidity points that can be played, which means that you can go anywhere below now. However, it is still in a bottom oscillation at present. I have always emphasized that in a volatile market, referring to a liquidation chart is very useful because the essence of a volatile market is plundering. So we saw that last week at the high point of 88, the bears were basically liquidated, but now the situation has reversed, and the bulls have been liquidated. So, if the market is volatile, it's time to liquidate the bears upwards. On the other hand, what should we do if we want to continue down? That's the trend market. In the current situation where the bullish liquidity is basically cleared, I will continue to decline and can only be driven by a large bearish trend. The current macro bearish factor is Tuesday's tariffs. Amplify bearish sentiment, create panic, and push downwards. If this kind of liquidation happens, don't panic, don't panic, this is an opportunity. This is spending money to smash the market, definitely to obtain lower chips. Pin is an opportunity to slowly buy spot goods, pay attention to spot goods. OK, So we are waiting for the news on Tuesday. There are currently no empty positions in the layout, but if it goes down, then pay attention to buying opportunities. 3. Short term operation: 1) At present, it is still in a downward trend, waiting for 84 vacancies over the weekend. From a trend perspective, it is still possible to go short even if the test H1 bearish ob refuses to distribute. 2) But if we break through here, the hourly level structure will be disrupted, and we need to be aware that this may be a buying opportunity on the right side, and pay attention to clearing the bearish positions above. First, let's take a look at 87.
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