
Sina 🗝️⚡ 21st Capital|Mar 19, 2025 18:11
Thoughts on the Fed Decisions:
- As expected no change to the interest rate. They always wait for very clear signs to either side before they act. So this marks the second meeting with no rate cuts.
- They downgraded growth projections for 2025 significantly (note the growth weaknesses we have highlighted in the table from the quoted post)
- They do recognize that risks are increasing with trade war and spending concerns. (note the weaknesses we have highlighted in the table from quoted post)
- Now Summary of Economic Projections: shows two expected rate cuts in 2025
- QT is slowing April 1st
- Fed increases their inflation forecast for 2025 (Note the tariff risks that we have highlighted before; however, we disagree with the Fed on this one. The weaknesses threatening growth could offset the inflationary effects on tariffs)
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