奇迹
奇迹|Mar 19, 2025 09:34
The Federal Reserve is on a shocking night! Powell is about to speak, is a financial tsunami coming? The moment to witness history has finally arrived! Tonight, the attention of the financial industry is focused on the Federal Reserve, and Master Bao (Powell) is about to make his debut in this globally anticipated economic drama, ready to do a big job! Timeline sorting: 1. At 2am: The Federal Reserve will announce the highly anticipated results of its interest rate meeting. 2. 2:30: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will give a speech, which is undoubtedly the highlight of tonight. At present, it can be confirmed that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates 100% at this meeting. But the real key is that the Federal Reserve will release a dot matrix of future interest rates, which will reveal the Fed's expectations for the future direction of interest rates this year, which is a core factor affecting global financial markets. There are multiple possibilities for the current interest rate market forecast: 1. Three interest rate cuts: If the Federal Reserve increases the expectation of interest rate cuts from once this year in the December dot matrix to three times, it will definitely be a major positive for the market and is expected to drive the stock market, foreign exchange market and other financial markets to rise sharply. 2. Two interest rate cuts: If adjusted to two interest rate cuts, although it can be considered good news, the market reaction may be relatively flat, and financial market volatility may not be too high. 3. A one-time interest rate cut remains unchanged: If the expectation of only one interest rate cut this year is maintained, it will be seen as a major bearish trend by the market, which may trigger a wave of selling in the financial market, and various asset prices will face downward pressure. In addition, there is another focus worth paying attention to tonight - the Federal Reserve stopping QT balance sheet tightening. The market generally believes that the probability of announcing this news is extremely high. Once the announcement of the cessation of balance sheet tightening is made, it will have a significant impact on market liquidity and inject a shot in the arm into the financial market. Let's hold our breath and witness tonight's Federal Reserve financial show together, looking forward to everything going smoothly and a smooth transition in the global financial market!
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