
帕尔 | 無極Infinity®|Mar 19, 2025 03:46
Let me give you some thoughts. Actually, I think it might be another disappointing night for everyone.
From the perspective of K-line and liquidity, it is currently a bottom boring oscillation and fundraising stage, and the overall trend is still a downward trend.
Moreover, in terms of capital flow, it is still in a continuous outflow state.
So currently there are no upward conditions, even if Lao Bao releases his pigeon, it will only be an emotional rebound.
At most, I can see a bearish trend on D1, which is around 9w.
But it's more likely to be around 86.
Even continuing to test the bearish trend, rejecting it and continuing to oscillate.
Everyone can tell by looking at the two green bearish OBs on the side.
I have repeatedly said that the current market is a plundering market, just look at the liquidation chart.
A soft knife cuts flesh, thousands of knives shake, constantly harvesting individual investors.
At present, the macro situation is that Lao Bao is also very powerless and a jerk. Nick is right, he seems calm on the surface but is constantly swimming in the murky water.
I am not very proficient in macro analysis. Here, I will borrow the key point from @ jiu_Sunny Iron Pillar Brother,
Powell's strategy for the market is only one: vague confrontation with uncertainty, neutral wording, conditional commitments, and providing a foundation for policy reversal.
Therefore, this expectation management becomes: the dot matrix serves as a buffer tool, providing conditional guidance for speech to maintain policy flexibility, and QT adjustments to mitigate liquidity security.
So lower your expectations, Xiaobai really needs to participate in this market, don't show off the liquidation operation.
Long term players should maintain normal planning and regular investment.
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