If Bitcoin falls to a minimum of $80000 and the market outlook is uncertain, there are four trends worth paying attention to: 1. Driven by no catalyst, slow bleeding: The flow of strategic reserve funds for Bitcoin in the United States is moderate. When there is a lack of new stimulus, the market heat will decrease within 1-8 weeks, and funds may flow out or gradually sell off. The decline in ETF fund inflows, decreased interest in holding positions, and contraction of market liquidity are key signals with low to moderate but persistent impacts. ​ 2. Animal spirits trigger a relief rebound: Bitcoin strategic reserves may boost market sentiment in the short term. If the micro strategy issues stocks to buy Bitcoin and the stock market rises, in the next 7-14 days, there will be a surge in ETF fund inflows, MSTR stock issuance, stock market upswing and other signals, and the price of Bitcoin may briefly soar sharply, with a moderate but short-lived impact. ​ 3. The increase in adoption rate brings about change: although strategic reserves do not immediately bring in capital inflows, they release positive signals. Retail investors can see the promotion of Bitcoin applications, while institutions may accelerate their entry. Banks and others may consider it as a preliminary signal for inclusion in BTC. If the risk exposure of large institutions increases and signals such as the entry of pension funds and sovereign wealth funds appear for more than 3 months, it will have a disruptive impact on the Bitcoin market. ​ 4. Liquidity driven steady upward trend: Some views suggest that the M2 money supply dominates the price of Bitcoin. Currently, M2 has bottomed out and rebounded, with Bitcoin prices typically lagging behind by about 20 days. Within 20-40 days, signals such as continued expansion of M2, reduction of the Ministry of Finance's accounts (TGA), and inflow of stablecoin funds will appear, and Bitcoin may fluctuate upwards in the coming weeks, showing a stable upward trend in the medium term.