灯塔说
灯塔说|Mar 14, 2025 14:29
It's been a long time since we discussed macro level content However, the correlation between the trends of the US stock market and the cryptocurrency market has been increasing recently. Without the independent positive influence of the cryptocurrency market, the future trend of the cryptocurrency market can refer to the US stock market There are several pieces of information that can be seen in Nick's tweet on the megaphone. Let me briefly summarize them: 1. Rising inflation expectations and increased anxiety about rising inflation will also become a consensus; 2. The "dovish" Fed, who only made statements in the past, may face criticism. US bond yields may continue to rise, expectations of interest rate cuts will continue to decrease, and expectations of interest rate hikes will increase. If stability is maintained, it is highly likely that they will remain inactive; 3. If interest rates continue to rise, the risk of economic recession will expand and the pullback of the US stock market will continue, which is a negative signal for the US stock market. 4. The overall cryptocurrency market is affected by this and may continue to adjust in the short term, but the long-term direction after political intervention is still positive. At the same time, BTC may be actively used as an anti inflation asset to increase its benefits. In the end, we will continue to pay attention to the latest statements from the Federal Reserve, CPI data, and the market's timing of interest rate cuts. BTC
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