Technical Knowledge: Lecture 36- Going Home and Kissing Goodbye Content word count: 1100 Reading time: 1 minute There is a mutual traction relationship between the K-line and the moving average. The K-line is a boat, the moving average is a river, and energy is a motor; The boat is drifting on the water, with speed determined by the throttle and direction determined by the river channel. Today we will explain in simple terms the relationship between small boats and rivers. (with practical examples attached) From a technical perspective, it means that when the price of a currency is too fast or too far from the moving average, if it is in an upward phase, profitable short-term investors will choose to cash out and leave, leading to the price returning to the average cost zone; If it is in a downward phase, an overly rapid decline at a critical position will inevitably attract bargain hunting funds to enter, so prices will rebound. This is the technical principle of the "go home" form. According to the duration rule of the "go home" pattern, the maximum duration for the coin price to return to MA30 is generally around 8 days, with an average duration of around 5 days. In cases of rapid decline, it will take around 3 days (which is commonly referred to as 4 days and 3 negative days), In other words, in most cases, after a daily decline, the coin price usually reaches a temporary low point around 5 days and rebounds towards the MA30 target level. The main function of the "go home" pattern is to estimate the approximate duration and range of the decline. Of course, each low point may not necessarily be an ideal entry point, but it can provide an important technical reference for traders on the overall rise and fall of the coin price. The main form of the "kiss goodbye" form is one of the judgment criteria often mentioned by Tang Ge, which is the confirmation of breaking the position and drawing back. This form provides a second chance for the previously trapped chips to escape, and also provides a certain basis for capturing short selling opportunities and judging trends or reversals. Going home during the rising phase: On November 4th, Chart A had been falling for 6 consecutive days, meeting the buying criteria. Prior to this round of surge, the original text indicated that "the pullback is coming to an end, and there is relatively strong structural support below, which is an area for rebounding from the ambush center line," successfully capturing the starting point of 67216's rise (the lowest point in the market is 66808) https://((((x.com))))/Xxoo3k5k/status/1853429864222834997 Farewell kiss during the decline phase: On February 21st, after the end of the volatility in Figure B, the price continued to rise for three consecutive days without breaking through, indicating the suppression of 99600. The original text suggested "take profit on spot, small stop loss short" and "do not chase after the trend of rising for three consecutive days without breaking through after the insertion, so as not to buy at local highs https://((((x.com))))/Xxoo3k5k/status/1892941225147384302 On March 2nd, in Figure C, after a wave of sharp decline, including the long lower shadow line, it belongs to a continuous three-day surge. The original text suggests that "buying at the bottom and holding the middle line chips, as well as buying at the high level in the early stage, should first reduce positions and leave the market. Do not be blinded by the brainless call for a bull return, and do not chase the rise." It also provides accurate positioning, and after the fact, the decision is correct. https://((((x.com))))/Xxoo3k5k/status/1896202090521002441 On March 6th, as shown in Figure D, within the contraction triangle, the price continued to rise for three consecutive days. The original text once again suggests that the space and probability of sustained price increases have decreased, so there is no need to expect too much, mainly to guard against short-term upward and downward trends. It has been falling back ever since. https://((((x.com))))/Xxoo3k5k/status/1897622321646735755 The essence of technical analysis is to analyze the greed and fear of human nature, not to cut corners and blindly apply it, BTC